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METR

Update on Security at METR Brief independent investigation of agents’ behavior, reasoning and collaboration in the OpenAI / Hugging Face hacking incident 对 OpenAI / Hugging Face 入侵事件中智能体行为、推理与协作的简要独立调查 Breve investigación independiente sobre el comportamiento, el razonamiento y la colaboración de los agentes en el incidente de hackeo de OpenAI / Hugging Face Have We Seen an Acceleration in Discoveries? Funding update How independent researchers could investigate AI propensities after misalignment incidents Metrics of Agent Ability The Economics of Recursive Self-Improvement Expenditure Horizon: Measuring Optimization Ability, with an Application to NanoGPT Because 8 ≈ e², Anthropic's researcher uplift is plausibly >2x Frontier AI Safety Policies Frontier Risk Report (February to March 2026) 前沿 AI 风险报告(2026 年 2–3 月) Informe de riesgos de la IA de frontera (febrero–marzo de 2026) Measuring the Self-Reported Impact of Early-2026 AI on Technical Worker Productivity Task Substitution and Uplift Review of the "Risks from automated R&D" section in the Anthropic Risk Report (February 2026) Evidence on AI R&D Progress from NanoGPT MirrorCode: Evidence that AI can already do some weeks-long coding tasks Fine-tuning experiments on CoT controllability Red-Teaming Anthropic's Internal Agent Monitoring Systems Impact of modelling assumptions on time horizon results We spent 2 hours working in the future Review of the Anthropic Sabotage Risk Report: Claude Opus 4.6 Many SWE-bench-Passing PRs Would Not Be Merged into Main Observations from two CLI game reimplementation runs with Opus 4.6 We are Changing our Developer Productivity Experiment Design Five lessons from having helped run an AI-Biology RCT How We Protect Confidential Information
Summary of METR's predeployment evaluation of GPT-5.6 Sol
METR · 2026-06-26 · via METR

Note on independence: This evaluation was conducted under a standard NDA. Due to the sensitive information shared with METR as part of this evaluation, OpenAI’s comms and legal team required review and approval of this post.1

We conducted an independent external evaluation of GPT-5.6 Sol. For this evaluation, OpenAI provided:

  • Access to GPT-5.6 Sol, both the final checkpoint and a ‘railfree’ version, via API
  • Access to GPT-5.6 Sol with raw chain-of-thought via API
  • A “Codex harness setup guide for third-party assessors”
  • Updated answers to key claims from our pilot Frontier Risk Report questionnaire

We initiated an evaluation of GPT-5.6 Sol on our Time Horizon 1.1 suite of software tasks. However, the resulting measurement depends heavily on our detection and treatment of cheating attempts by the model, and GPT-5.6 Sol’s detected cheating rate was higher than any public model we have evaluated on our ReAct agent harness. For our task suite, we define “cheating” as behavior where the model improves evaluation performance by exploiting bugs in the evaluation environment or by adopting strategies disallowed by the task, rather than solving the task within the expected evaluation constraints. Some examples we saw when evaluating GPT-5.6 Sol included the model packaging exploits in its intermediate submissions to reveal information about a task’s hidden test suite and, in another task, extracting hidden source code detailing the expected answer. In addition to a model’s own propensities, we believe that observed cheating rates can also be influenced by the prompts used in the evaluation scaffold and the exact wordings of task instructions.

With the data we collected for GPT-5.6 Sol, if we follow our standard methodology of marking cheating attempts as failures, we arrive at a 50%-Time Horizon point estimate of around 11.3hrs (95% CI: 5hrs - 40hrs), but if we count the cheating attempts as legitimate successes, the point estimate jumps beyond 270hrs – well beyond the range where we consider our task suite to give reliable measurements. Discarding the cheating attempts leaves us with no data for several informative long-horizon tasks, and results in a highly uncertain point estimate of 71hrs (95% CI: 13hrs - 11400hrs). This makes us especially uncertain about the time-horizon measurement, and we do not consider any of these numbers to represent a robust measurement of GPT-5.6 Sol’s capabilities. However, other benchmark scores shared with us by OpenAI and the long-term trend in AI capabilities lead us to believe that GPT-5.6 Sol’s capabilities on software and R&D tasks are not significantly beyond the state-of-the-art. As such, we do not believe GPT-5.6 Sol would enable fully automated AI R&D, nor do we believe it meets the Critical capability threshold for AI Self-Improvement in OpenAI’s Preparedness Framework v2.

Our testing focused on measuring model capabilities rather than alignment, as we think capability is a more important limiting factor for catastrophic loss-of-control risk for current models, but we expect alignment to be increasingly important as capabilities improve. We noted from our observations and incidents that OpenAI shared with us that the model had some overt undesirable propensities, including cheating and concealing misbehavior.

We consider this to be a reassuring sign about OpenAI’s ability to catch catastrophic misalignment, as it suggests that more concerning tendencies (such as systematic powerseeking and alignment faking) would also be detected. That is, these undesirable propensities being detected and reported (and manifesting fairly overtly) is a positive sign about some of OpenAI’s safety practices, particularly:

  • Refraining from training against the chain of thought (to reduce pressure for the model to conceal its intentions)
  • Extensive monitoring of internal deployments that surfaced relevant incidents
  • Sharing information about internal incidents with METR

If future models display much fewer undesirable propensities, we could become more concerned about catastrophic misalignment, as we’d be worried that models may have learned to evade detection. This seems especially plausible given that the incidents reported by OpenAI include attempts to instruct another instance to conceal evidence of misalignment, and a higher rate of attempts to deceive or circumvent restrictions, and that METR observed substantial situational awareness and reasoning about the evaluation environment. As training and iteration continues, we need to ensure the models aren’t just learning to be more successful at evading the monitoring system. This is impossible to validate in a traditional pre-deployment evaluation paradigm, as it requires deep access to internal systems.