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[AINews] Codex usage up >10x in 6 months to 7M users, +1M in the past ~day; did Codex overtake Claude Code??
Latent.Space · 2026-07-14 · via Latent.Space

Congrats to Allen for the next episode of the Latent Space Food show with Engram CEO Dan Biderman today, and to the Prime Intellect folks on their 1B valuation, $100M ARR, and verifiers v1.

Today was pretty quiet and people are still deeply digesting last week’s multiple frontier model launches. We were going to write “not much happened today”, but we also have a policy of updating you repeatedly on outlier trends that you should really be on top of. In reviewing the Reddit AINews recaps below surfaced this post, we saw a tweet we had missed before -

X avatar for @thsottiaux

Tibo@thsottiaux

Morning. The last 48 hours of Codex and ChatGPT Work have been intense! Three important updates: - Temporarily removing the 5 hour usage limit restriction for all Plus, Business and Pro plans - Rolling out changes that will make GPT 5.6 Sol more efficient across the board and

5:59 PM · Jul 12, 2026 · 4.29M Views

2.8K Replies · 1.95K Reposts · 25.1K Likes

GPT 5.6 was launched on July 9.

This tweet on July 12 says they hit 6M users in the prior 48 hours (Jul 10-12).

Then 24.5 hours later Tibo reports 7M users…

X avatar for @thsottiaux

Tibo@thsottiaux

Thank you to the 7M active users who are now using Codex and ChatGPT Work. We have added a banked reset to everyone's account to celebrate the milestone. You can apply the reset in the desktop app or on web and it will replenish the weekly usage for you. Have fun out there.

6:29 PM · Jul 13, 2026 · 947K Views

1.38K Replies · 656 Reposts · 14.1K Likes

…oddly coinciding with a surprise extension of Claude Fable’s subscription status (we have of course no idea if the two are related, but the permanently online conspiracy theorists are of course making a connection).

We of course recall Fidji’s March disclosure of 2M Codex users, which allows us to update our AIE NYC 2025 chart (AIE NYC 2026 is next!):

Comparatively, the last update we got about Claude Code is the roughly 2M users and $2.5B ARR in Feb (“The number of weekly active Claude Code users has also doubled since January 1 [six weeks ago]."). Now we have a sense of where Codex started the year (Fidji puts the Jan 1 number at around 550k-700k users), we can reasonably conclude that Codex has followed a similar trajectory and is now around 10x user growth year to date.

The charitable interpretation on Claude Code’s comparative silence on reporting, of course, is that they moved the bulk of coding to Claude Tag months ago and are now focusing users there, which will have different/hard to compare usage statistics given the different accessibility of a Slackbot vs a CLI tool.

But 10x growth in 6 months is an impressive number to beat nonetheless.

AI News for 7/11/2026-7/13/2026. We checked 12 subreddits, 544 Twitters and no further Discords. AINews’ website lets you search all past issues. As a reminder, AINews is now a section of Latent Space. You can opt in/out of email frequencies!

Agent RL Infrastructure: Prime Intellect’s Verifiers v1 and Long-Horizon Rollouts

  • Prime Intellect’s verifiers v1: Prime Intellect released verifiers v1, a substantial redesign of its environment stack for agentic RL and evals. The key abstraction splits environments into a taskset, harness, and runtime, explicitly supporting “bring your own harness” workflows for coding and computer-use agents across heterogeneous execution setups, as highlighted by Johannes Hage and in a follow-up deep dive. The release was framed by team members as months of infra modernization work with major efficiency gains, including richer commentary from willccbb, mikasenghaas, and xeophon.

  • Why it matters technically: one of the most important underlying changes is that rollout traces are now stored as message DAGs, so each message is stored once instead of repeatedly copied into full histories; that shifts trace growth from O(n²) to O(n) in turn count, making long-horizon multimodal rollouts and router replay much more practical, per Prime Intellect. The team also claimed a concrete training configuration: a 100B reasoning model, on 40-turn SWE agent tasks, in a user-supplied coding harness, for 1000 RL steps, using 6 H200 nodes in under 2 days (willccbb). That claim was reinforced by ecosystem support from vLLM, which noted verifiers’ rollout path runs on vLLM with exact token IDs/logprobs to avoid tokenization drift between serving and training.

Coding Agents, Harness Design, and Cost-Per-Task Competition

  • Harnesses are becoming the product surface: several posts converged on the idea that model quality is no longer the only differentiator; the harness/orchestrator increasingly determines outcomes. threepointone’s talk was summarized as “the harness is the app,” while LangChain argued that winning agent products will come from task-specialized harnesses, not generic wrappers. Factory pushed a related UI angle with “design mode,” where users point at UI elements/files instead of verbally re-specifying edits. On the orchestration side, omarsar0 emphasized provider-switching across models as a hedge against pricing/policy churn.

  • Benchmarks are moving from token price to cost per task: skirano built a coding-agent index explorer and found notable cost/perf tradeoffs such as Terra Max slightly ahead of Fable 5 Max on score for materially lower cost, while Cognition reported that Devin Fusion now uses Fable 5 and that, surprisingly, it can be lower cost per task than Opus 4.8 because stronger delegation and judgment reduce unnecessary work. imjaredz highlighted the key stat from those experiments: in 81% of Fable-led runs, the lead model never makes a code edit, implying expensive models can be cheaper when they avoid wasted actions.

  • Real-world agent benchmarks are getting denser: Arena placed GPT-5.6 Sol at #2 on its agent leaderboard based on 7.8K real-world agentic sessions, with strong steerability and task success; later, Arena put Grok-4.5 at #13, a significant jump over Grok 4.3. Artificial Analysis also emphasized cost per task as an increasingly important metric for long-horizon knowledge work, arguing token pricing alone misses effects from turns, verbosity, and cache hit rates. Separate evaluation work from Parlance Labs compared automated eval platforms and foundation models on failure analysis over production voice-agent traces, while dair.ai highlighted a paper on the anatomy of CLI coding-agent failures, focusing on where runs become unrecoverable rather than only final pass/fail.

OpenAI GPT-5.6 Sol, Codex Usage Fixes, and Product Surface Expansion

  • OpenAI addressed Codex/Sol usage burn transparently: the biggest operational thread came from thsottiaux, who explained several fixes for GPT-5.6 Sol in ChatGPT Work/Codex: inference optimizations yielding roughly 10% more usage, a rollback of context limit from 372k to 272k after billing/usage side effects, reversion of some experimental reasoning-effort (“juice”) changes, and fixes for overactive multi-agent behavior at high/xhigh settings. Community reverse-engineering from theo proposed that compounding factors around long context, subagent spawning, and fast mode were behind the severe burn, though he later corrected one billing detail in a follow-up. Reactions split between criticism of a perceived “nerf” narrative (ns123abc) and praise for unusual transparency (theo, sama).

  • Users are reporting strong coding/computer-use capability: multiple practitioners argued that OpenAI has taken the lead on coding models, including schrockn, while gdb repeatedly showcased ChatGPT Work and Codex workflows for startup prospecting, web design, mobile work, and site generation. Particularly illustrative user demos included Star_Knight12 using Sol in Cursor to set up Blender MCP and render a floating MacBook without prior Blender experience, and petergostev showing GPT-5.6 Sol Ultra building a Doom-like game in SQL.

  • Product-level expansion continues: ChatGPTapp announced ChatGPT’s return to WhatsApp in the EEA, plus Kakao/Viber support in additional markets. OpenAIDevs opened submissions for OpenAI Build Week. Across the OpenAI ecosystem, gdb summarized the moment succinctly: “you can just create things.”

Open Models, Inference Systems, and Quantization

  • Transformers↔vLLM integration removes duplicated model implementation work: Clement Delangue highlighted a major open-inference usability improvement: Hugging Face Transformers models can now run in vLLM at native speed, often matching or exceeding hand-written implementations. If this generalizes broadly, it reduces the long-standing burden of implementing each new architecture twice—once for research/training and once for high-performance serving—and could materially accelerate adoption of new open model architectures.

  • Quantization remains a major lever: waterloo_intern previewed a new quantization method claimed to beat existing approaches, including NVIDIA’s ModelOpt, by finding better layerwise precision assignments faster, with more aggressive quantization and higher benchmark scores. Complementing that, Unsloth published an AWS guide to LLM quantization and deployment spanning GGUF, NVFP4, and FP8. There was also practitioner commentary around fp4 RL / fp4 serving from nrehiew_, arguing low-bit post-training may enable cheap serving with limited quality loss.

  • GLM-5.2 and local/open coding stacks continue to gain traction: several users described moving real workflows onto open or semi-open setups. juanjucm wrote up using GLM-5.2 for coding-agent workflows, while TheZachMueller reported migrating one actual work pipeline from Claude to a stack built around GLM 5.2 NVFP4 plus Kimi K2.7 Code NVFP4 on an 8xB200 node, getting denser reports for pennies albeit at slower wall-clock latency. nutlope also released LlamaCoder v4, rebuilt around GLM 5.2.

Security, Privacy, and Data Control in Agent Tooling

  • Grok Build code upload controversy: the most consequential security story came from IntCyberDigest and hrkrshnn, who alleged that xAI’s Grok Build CLI was uploading entire repositories—including private code and secrets—to a Google Cloud bucket, far beyond what was needed for the coding task. The criticism centered on scope, silent server-side mitigation, and unclear retention/deletion guarantees. This triggered broader discussion about what agent tools actually transmit and why opt-out UX can diverge from wire-level behavior.

  • xAI’s response emphasized ZDR and privacy controls: SpaceXAI replied that for teams using zero data retention, trace and code data is not retained, API key use respects ZDR, and the /privacy command can disable retention and delete previously synced data. That answered some operational questions but did not fully resolve community concern around default behavior, prior uploads, and disclosure norms.

  • Trust boundaries are becoming a central open-vs-closed argument: several posts extended the conversation beyond this incident. mchiang0610 and jmorgan argued that open models are not just about cost but about control over the human-AI learning loop and keeping institutional knowledge in-house. Arav Srinivas said ZDR availability was one reason Perplexity integrated Grok 4.5 quickly into its Computer harness.

Continual Learning, Multimodal Systems, and Research Directions

  • Continual learning is re-emerging as a first-class systems problem: ysu_nlp argued that a world where every organization owns its own human-AI learning loop depends on solving continual learning, and that current approaches—memory/RAG, domain post-training, task RL—are not yet sufficient. That theme recurred in new work from skyfallai, which introduced Morpheus, described as a persistent enterprise simulation for real-world RL where the world does not reset; fchollet endorsed it as a benchmark better aligned with real deployment than stationary episodic RL.

  • “Sleep and dreaming” for LLMs: behrouz_ali and coauthors proposed that LLMs may need a sleep phase to consolidate short-term into long-term memory plus a dreaming phase for recursive self-improvement, introducing Knowledge Seeding and reporting benefits on continual learning/reasoning tasks. This dovetails with broader dissatisfaction around current continual-learning recipes and with Oak Lab, the new venture from Rich Sutton and collaborators pursuing animal-like intelligence that learns from experience rather than today’s standard LLM pipeline.

  • A broad spread of non-LLM-agent research shipped: notable items included Sakana AI’s Smart Cellular Bricks for decentralized physical self-recognition and repair in modular systems; ByteDance’s UniVR-34B, described as learning reasoning/dynamics/planning directly from visual demonstrations; Google DeepMind’s Predicting the Past skill for historical inference workflows; and Anthropic’s research on how Claude’s expressed values vary across models and languages based on analysis of 300K+ anonymized conversations.

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