This paper considers the modeling and the analysis of the performance of lock-free concurrent data structures. Lock-free designs employ an optimistic conflict control mechanism, allowing several processes to access the shared data object at the same time. They guarantee that at least one concurrent operation finishes in a finite number of its own steps regardless of the state of the operations. Our analysis considers such lock-free data structures that can be represented as linear combinations of fixed size retry loops. Our main contribution is a new way of modeling and analyzing a general class of lock-free algorithms, achieving predictions of throughput that are close to what we observe in practice. We emphasize two kinds of conflicts that shape the performance: (i) hardware conflicts, due to concurrent calls to atomic primitives; (ii) logical conflicts, caused by simultaneous operations on the shared data structure. We show how to deal with these hardware and logical conflicts separately, and how to combine them, so as to calculate the throughput of lock-free algorithms. We propose also a common framework that enables a fair comparison between lock-free implementations by covering the whole contention domain, together with a better understanding of the performance impacting factors. This part of our analysis comes with a method for calculating a good back-off strategy to finely tune the performance of a lock-free algorithm. Our experimental results, based on a set of widely used concurrent data structures and on abstract lock-free designs, show that our analysis follows closely the actual code behavior.