The Yankees and Orioles play the third game of their four-game series on Sunday, May 3.

New York is a -207 moneyline favorite, while Baltimore is +169 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The game total is set at over/under 8.5 runs.

Let’s get into a pick and prediction for this Yankees vs. Orioles game.

Yankees vs. Orioles prediction, preview

The first two games of this series have been ugly for the Orioles. A 7-2 loss on Friday and a 9-4 loss on Saturday is not the start you want against a division rival. Sunday’s matinee isn’t expected to be any better with Max Fried on the mound.

The Yankees’ ace has been just that this year, posting a 2.09 ERA across 47.1 innings. He’s pitched back-to-back scoreless outings and has four scoreless starts this season. The Orioles will want Fried out of the game as soon as possible to chip at the New York bullpen.

Meanwhile, Trey Gibson is making his MLB debut for Baltimore. He has the benefit of being a fresh face in the majors, so there isn’t as much film on him. That said, he also hasn’t faced many major-league-level batters. With the way New York’s offense is thriving lately, it could be a messy debut for the 23-year-old.

Yankees vs. Orioles Pick, Best Bet

Because the Yankees are rightfully -207 moneyline favorites, we have to get more creative for a best bet. There needs to be value, and I’m seeing some with Yankees -1.5 run line.

New York should keep its offense flowing against a rookie pitcher, while Fried quiets the Orioles.

Best Bet: New York Yankees -1.5 (+102)