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Aston Villa vs. Liverpool prediction, pick for Friday 5/1...
Ciaran Doyle · 2026-05-15 · via DraftKings Network

Ciaran Doyle gives his best bet on DraftKings Sportsbook for Friday’s Premier League match between Aston Villa and Liverpool.

Matchweek 37 of the Premier League starts on Friday as Liverpool travel to take on Aston Villa in a game that sees fourth place take on fifth.

Liverpool are +120 favorites on the moneyline for this one on DraftKings Sportsbook, with a draw available at +275. Fancy an Aston Villa win? The Villans are +195 to pick up three points.

Aston Villa vs. Liverpool Prediction, Pick

With only two games to go, it’s looking like both of these teams will qualify in the top five and finish in next year’s Champions League. They both sit on 59 points, four ahead of Bournemouth in sixth place. Although unlikely, it is still possible for the Cherries to leapfrog both teams. An easy way to make sure that doesn’t happen for these teams is to win this game and that would guarantee a Champions League place. I think that won’t be the case however, as these two teams will nullify each other going for the win, and ultimately I’m betting on this to end in a draw.

The last two times that Liverpool visited Villa Park, the game ended all square. Last season, it was a 2-2 draw. In the 2023/24 season, it also ended in a tie, this time with a score of 3-3. The Reds have been successful against Villa at Anfield in recent seasons, but have drawn each of their last two Premier League games on the road against the Villans.

Both of these teams enter this game in bad form. Liverpool have won one, lost one and drawn one of their last three games. Villa have drawn one and lost two of their last three league games, but have a Europa League semi-final victory sprinkled in between.

Look for these teams to cancel each other out and for this fixture to end in a draw for the third consecutive season at Villa Park.

The Pick: Draw (+275)