The Philadelphia Phillies finally got back over the .500 mark in mid-May, and they’ll need all the momentum they can get heading into tonight’s game. On Saturday in the late slate, they take on the Los Angeles Dodgers, who have re-found their mojo and are heating back up.

Here’s a betting prediction and pick for tonight’s Phillies vs. Dodgers matchup courtesy of MLB odds and lines on DraftKings Sportsbook.

Phillies vs. Dodgers prediction, preview

Philadelphia Phillies

The Phillies are yet to look like a real, bonafide contender, but the results since the change in managerial leadership speak for themselves. Now 29-28 on the campaign, they’re firmly in the conversation as a Wild Card candidate and sit second in the NL East. Philadelphia scores 3.95 runs per game and has an OPS of .676 that falls third-to-last. The slash line reads .226/.294/.383 but a .157 ISO is a positive, as are the 69 homers which rank ninth in the sport. The plate process could use some work though, as an 0.35 BB/K ratio ranks third worst. As for arms, things look quite a bit better. The Phillies’ 3.98 ERA comes in at 14th with a 1.29 WHIP and a 17.7% K-BB%, the latter stat of which paces the entire MLB. The bullpen alone has a 3.84 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 17.8% K-BB% as well.

LHP Jesus Luzardo makes his 12th start of the season tonight after going 4-4 in those outings. He’s tossed 61.2 innings with a 4.38 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 72 punchouts. While his ERA may not impress, he’s fallen victim to some poor luck and has a 3.15 xERA with an excellent Baseball Savant profile, grading out in the upper quartile of most underlying metrics in what’s been an excellent campaign.

Los Angeles Dodgers

The Dodgers are, of course, still one of the favorites to come out of the National League. They’re 37-20 atop the NL West and are 8-2 over their last 10 games, taking six straight over that span. Better yet, a +122 run differential leads the MLB. Los Angeles averages 5.30 runs per game and has a .788 OPS that paces the sport. A full slash line of .261/.345/.443 is obviously extremely impressive, and a .182 ISO ranks second among all teams. The Dodgers’ 80 homers are also second most, and they’re third in BB/K ratio at 0.53 as well. The pitching staff is the best in the MLB, bringing a 3.10 ERA and 1.08 WHIP with a 17.2% K-BB%. The bullpen itself is similarly elite, racking up a 3.05 ERA with a 1.12 WHIP.

RHP Roki Sasaki draws his 10th start of the year with a 3-3 record thus far. He has a 4.93 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 43 punchouts in 45.2 IP. He brings great fastball velocity at 97 mph but has been below average in barrel and hard-hit rate.

Phillies vs. Dodgers pick, best bet

DraftKings Sportsbook lists the Dodgers as -131 Moneyline favorites on the road tonight. The Phillies come in with +108 odds to win outright. The total sits at 8.5 combined runs between these two teams.

Best Bet: LA Dodgers ML (-131)

Sasaki hasn’t had a great season, but neither have the Phillies! Their recent form at the plate has been horrendous with a .611 OPS in the last two weeks, hitting only .185 over that span. Against one of the best offenses in baseball, that’s far from a good sign. Plus, Philadelphia averages just 3.74 runs per game on the road compared to 4.13 at home. Luzardo himself is having a nice year, but he’s facing the sport’s most fearsome lineup and will have his work cut out for him. This just feels like a matchup in which Los Angeles could steamroll a struggling opponent.