Ryan Wohl details his best bet for Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk at the UFC’s event in Baku, Azerbaijan.
Abus Magomedov faces Michal Oleksiejczuk in a three-round Middleweight contest at today’s UFC Fight Night in Baku, Azerbaijan. Magomedov is 3-1 in his previous four contests but lost his last fight against Joe Pyfer in October 2025. Meanwhile, Oleksiejczuk enters this contest with a three-fight winning streak.
Check out my best bet for Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk at UFC Baku.
In 2024, Oleksiejczuk went 0-3 with losses by submission. But since then, he has joined the Fighting Nerds and has seen tremendous improvements to his game. Oleksiejczuk has looked more confident in his skills, and it has translated to a ton of success inside the Octagon. Magomedov’s last win came against Michel Pereira, who is also competing on this card.
Magomedov is four years older, but has the height (6’2″ vs. 6’0″) and reach (78″ vs. 74″) advantages in this contest. On the feet, Oleksiejczuk does his best work as he averages 2.78 more significant strikes while being more accurate (53% vs. 49%). Magomedov lands more takedowns per 15 minutes (2.61 vs. 1.02), but Oleksiejczuk has a 52 percent takedown defense.
The odds for this fight are close, with Oleksiejczuk a slight -120 favorite and Magomedov +100 on DraftKings Sportsbook. This bout is -350 to not go the distance and +250 to last the full three scheduled 15-minute rounds. With the Fighting Nerds, Oleksiejczuk has been more consistent and aggressive in his fights. If he can successfully defend against Magomedov’s takedown attempts, Oleksiejczuk’s path to victory becomes clear.
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