惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

博客园_首页
J
Java Code Geeks
IT之家
IT之家
Last Week in AI
Last Week in AI
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
B
Blog RSS Feed
P
Proofpoint News Feed
博客园 - Franky
MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
博客园 - 【当耐特】
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
I
InfoQ
B
Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
博客园 - 聂微东
Y
Y Combinator Blog
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
U
Unit 42
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏

DraftKings Network

When does Rooster Episode 7 drop on HBO? 2026 NBA Playoffs: Celtics vs. 76ers series prediction, pick for the first round When’s the last time the Guardians had a no-hitter? 2026 NBA Playoffs: Spurs vs. Trail Blazers series prediction, pick for the first round WWE WrestleMania 42 Saturday Picks, Predictions, and Full Match Card When does Euphoria Season 3 Episode 2 drop on HBO? When Does American Gladiators Drop on Prime Video? UFC Picks: Top DraftKings DFS Fantasy MMA Targets, Values for Burns vs. Malott 2026 NBA Playoffs: Lakers vs. Rockets series prediction, pick for the first round Lottery Numbers: How Much was Won on Powerball™ 4/15/26 WrestleMania: History, Stats and Locations Best NBA Play-In Tournament player prop bets for Friday 4/17/26 2026 All-NBA Team Predictions, Picks: Where do Luka Doncic and Cade Cunningham fit in? San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners prediction, pick for MLB on Thursday 4/16/26 2026 NBA Playoffs: Knicks vs. Hawks series prediction, pick for the first round Survivor 50 Power Rankings: Fallout after Episode 8 Colorado Rockies at Houston Astros prediction, pick for Thursday 4/16/26 Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction, pick for Thursday 4/16/26 MLB Picks: Walker Buehler Strikeouts Props Seattle Mariners vs. San Diego Padres for Thursday 4/16/26 Full Card for RAF 08: Dvalishvili vs. Cejudo Tigers vs. Royals game delayed due to rain Thursday 4/16/26 Los Angeles Angels at New York Yankees prediction, pick for Thursday 4/16/26 DraftKings MLB Pick6 Fantasy Baseball Picks: Top Plays for Thursday 4/16/26 Tampa Bay Rays vs. Chicago White Sox prediction, pick for Thursday 4/16/26 MLB DFS Picks: Starting Pitcher Rankings for Thursday 4/16/26 When does Season 3 of Vanderpump Villa come out? 2026 NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets series prediction, pick for the first round 2026 NHL Playoffs: Sabres vs. Bruins series prediction, pick for the first round Toronto Blue Jays at Milwaukee Brewers prediction, pick for Thursday 4/16/26 Best MLB Prop Bets Today (April 16, 2026) – Picks, Props & Odds
MLB Best Bets: Top home run props for Tuesday 6/16/26
Garion Thorne · 2026-06-16 · via DraftKings Network

Garion Thorne details his top home run props for tonight’s slate, including bets for Carson Benge, Bobby Witt Jr. and Joc Pederson.

Home runs. Long balls. Bleacher reachers. Whatever you want to call them, people love watching and betting on home run props during baseball games. So much so, we’ve got a whole article dedicated to just that.

Here are my top three home run prop picks on DraftKings Sportsbook for Tuesday’s loaded slate: Carson Benge, Bobby Witt Jr. and Joc Pederson.

Let’s break them down.

Best MLB Home Run Bets Today

Best MLB Home Run Bets TodayOddsWhy I Like the Pick
Bobby Witt Jr.+359After not hitting a home run till late April, Witt Jr. has nine and a .211 ISO in his last 205 plate appearances. Foster Griffin owns an eighth percentile opponent barrel rate (11.8%) that has translated into surrendering 2.00 long balls per nine to right-handed batters.
Carson Benge+488Since May 1, Benge is slashing .294/.358/.444 with a 129 wRC+. Now he gets to hit at Great American Ball Park against the struggling Brady Singer. In the RHP’s last eight starts, LHBs have combined to hit 4.03 long balls per nine with a .696 slugging percentage.
Joc Pederson+445Dating back to May 19, Pederson is slashing .297/.373/.649 with a .351 ISO and a 177 wRC+ in 84 plate appearances. That span of time includes six of Pederson’s nine home runs hit this season. Meanwhile, Zebby Matthews is an extreme fly ball pitcher (48.1%) who enters this evening’s start with a sixth percentile opponent barrel rate (12.8%).

In-depth analysis below.

Top MLB Home Run Props Today

Bobby Witt Jr. 1+ Home Run (+359)

It took Witt Jr. a long time to hit his first home run of the season in 2026. In fact, the All-Star had zero long balls after his first 27 games. Still, once the seal was broken — all those struggles were an afterthought. Since April 26, Witt Jr. has collected nine home runs and a .211 ISO across 205 plate appearances. For the season as a whole, Witt Jr. possesses 95th percentile average exit velocity (93.3) and a 93rd percentile expected wOBA (.384). You probably don’t need me telling you this, but the 26-year-old is one of the most talented baseball players on the planet. On Tuesday, he’ll draw an opposite-hand matchup with Foster Griffin. Like every Nationals starter, Griffin gives up his share of loud contact. An eighth percentile opponent barrel rate (11.8%) has translated into surrendering 2.00 long balls per nine to right-handed batters. Woof.

Carson Benge 1+ Home Run (+488)

There’s two ways to back the Mets’ home run props on Tuesday: The smart way and the fun way. The former is accomplished by simply betting on Juan Soto (+195) to go deep in an amazing matchup against Brady Singer. However, as a rule of thumb, I’m never really looking to write up a home run prop that has shorter odds than 2/1. So, let’s pivot to New York’s other potent left-handed bat. Benge has been quite good since shaking off an early rookie slump in April. In fact, in his last 176 plate appearances, the outfielder is slashing .294/.358/.444 with a 129 wRC+. As the Mets’ leadoff man in a road game, Benge will likely get five opportunities to take advantage of the hitter-friendly dimensions of Great American Ball Park — with a majority of those at-bats coming with the aforementioned Singer on the mound. It’s been a real struggle for the veteran RHP in recent weeks, with Singer having conceded 14 home runs in his past eight outings. It’s a span of time where opposing LHBs have combined to hit 4.03 long balls per nine with a .696 slugging percentage.

Joc Pederson 1+ Home Run (+445)

I think a lot of people were wondering if Pederson’s career was over after a very underwhelming campaign in 2025. I mean, the 34-year-old doesn’t play much defense. He’s also a straight platoon bat. If you’re not crushing RHPs, what exactly are you bringing to the table? Fortunately, the former Dodgers prospect has turned things around in 2026 — specifically in the past four weeks. Dating back to May 19, Pederson is slashing .297/.373/.649 with a .351 ISO and a 177 wRC+ in 84 plate appearances. That span of time includes six of Pederson’s nine home runs hit this season. In layman’s terms, the man is on fire. He’ll get a chance to keep the good vibes rolling along on Tuesday, as the Rangers will square-of with the right-handed Zebby Matthews. The 26-year-old is basically the perfect opponent when hunting a long ball. Matthews is an extreme fly ball pitcher (48.1%) who enters this evening’s start with a sixth percentile opponent barrel rate (12.8%). In his last appearance on June 11, Matthews gave up three homers at Comerica Park. That’s hard to do.