Abstract:Multivariate time-series analysis involves extracting informative representations from sequences of multiple interdependent variables, supporting tasks such as forecasting, imputation, and anomaly detection. In real-world scenarios, these variables are typically collected from a shared context or underlying phenomenon, suggesting the presence of latent dependencies across time and channels that can be leveraged to improve performance. However, recent findings show that channel-independent (CI) models, which assume no inter-variable dependencies, often outperform channel-dependent (CD) models that explicitly model such relationships. This surprising result indicates that current CD models may not fully exploit their potential due to limitations in how dependencies are captured. Recent studies have revisited channel dependence modeling with various approaches; however, these methods often employ indirect modeling strategies, which can lead to meaningful dependencies being overlooked. To address this issue, we introduce XCTFormer, a transformer-based channel-dependent (CD) model that explicitly captures cross-temporal and cross-channel dependencies via an enhanced attention mechanism. The model operates in a token-to-token fashion, modeling pairwise dependencies between every pair of tokens across time and channels. The architecture comprises (i) a data processing module, (ii) a novel Cross-Relational Attention Block (CRAB) that increases capacity and expressiveness, and (iii) an optional Dependency Compression Plugin (DeCoP) that improves scalability. Through extensive experiments on three time-series benchmarks, we show that XCTFormer achieves strong results compared to widely recognized baselines; in particular, it attains state-of-the-art performance on the imputation task, outperforming the second-best method by an average of 20.8% in MSE and 15.3% in MAE.
| Comments: | TMLR 2026 |
| Subjects: | Machine Learning (cs.LG) |
| Cite as: | arXiv:2605.18534 [cs.LG] |
| (or arXiv:2605.18534v1 [cs.LG] for this version) | |
| https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.18534 arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration) |
From: Israel Zexer [view email]
[v1]
Mon, 18 May 2026 15:18:22 UTC (1,629 KB)
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