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Stable Long-Horizon PDE Forecasting via Latent Structured...
Xiaoxiao Lu, · 2026-05-12 · via cs.LG updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Long-horizon forecasting of time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) is critical for characterizing the sustained evolution of physical systems. While neural operators have emerged as efficient surrogates, they typically learn implicit finite-time transitions from discrete observations. When deployed autoregressively, such propagators often suffer from rapid error accumulation and dynamic drift. To address this, we propose a neural forecasting framework that reformulates PDE rollout as learning a Structured Spectral Propagator (SSP) in a propagation-oriented latent space. Following an analysis-propagation-synthesis design, our framework: (i) maps physical states into a shared, time-consistent spatial representation; (ii) projects this space into a compact propagation state to isolate recurrent dynamics from fine-grained spatial details, thereby decoupling reconstruction fidelity from rollout regularity; and (iii) evolves retained spectral modes using a frequency-conditioned linear backbone complemented by a nonlinear spectral closure to account for truncated interactions. This explicit structuring endows the propagator with a strong inductive bias for coherent modal evolution. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SSP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, reducing relative $L_2$ errors by up to 48.9% and exhibiting improved stability in temporal extrapolation beyond the supervised horizon.
Subjects: Machine Learning (cs.LG)
Cite as: arXiv:2605.10154 [cs.LG]
  (or arXiv:2605.10154v1 [cs.LG] for this version)
  https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2605.10154

arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration)

Submission history

From: Ye Yuan [view email]
[v1] Mon, 11 May 2026 08:00:42 UTC (593 KB)