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Policy Split: Incentivizing Dual-Mode Exploration in LLM Reinforcement with Dual-Mode Entropy Regularization METER: Evaluating Multi-Level Contextual Causal Reasoning in Large Language Models Think Before you Write: QA-Guided Reasoning for Character Descriptions in Books METRO: Towards Strategy Induction from Expert Dialogue Transcripts for Non-collaborative Dialogues Retrieval as Generation: A Unified Framework with Self-Triggered Information Planning Do LLMs Know Tool Irrelevance? Demystifying Structural Alignment Bias in Tool Invocations Enhancing Multimodal Large Language Models for Ancient Chinese Character Evolution Analysis via Glyph-Driven Fine-Tuning Exploring Knowledge Conflicts for Faithful LLM Reasoning: Benchmark and Method CocoaBench: Evaluating Unified Digital Agents in the Wild MathAgent: Adversarial Evolution of Constraint Graphs for Mathematical Reasoning Data Synthesis Efficient Training for Cross-lingual Speech Language Models Shared Emotion Geometry Across Small Language Models: A Cross-Architecture Study of Representation, Behavior, and Methodological Confounds A Systematic Analysis of the Impact of Persona Steering on LLM Capabilities Uncertainty-Aware Web-Conditioned Scientific Fact-Checking When Valid Signals Fail: Regime Boundaries Between LLM Features and RL Trading Policies When Verification Fails: How Compositionally Infeasible Claims Escape Rejection Mem$^2$Evolve: Towards Self-Evolving Agents via Co-Evolutionary Capability Expansion and Experience Distillation AOP-Smart: A RAG-Enhanced Large Language Model Framework for Adverse Outcome Pathway Analysis Advancing Polish Language Modeling through Tokenizer Optimization in the Bielik v3 7B and 11B Series TInR: Exploring Tool-Internalized Reasoning in Large Language Models Do BERT Embeddings Encode Narrative Dimensions? A Token-Level Probing Analysis of Time, Space, Causality, and Character in Fiction Generating Multiple-Choice Knowledge Questions with Interpretable Difficulty Estimation using Knowledge Graphs and Large Language Models Deep-Reporter: Deep Research for Grounded Multimodal Long-Form Generation Too Nice to Tell the Truth: Quantifying Agreeableness-Driven Sycophancy in Role-Playing Language Models Learning and Enforcing Context-Sensitive Control for LLMs Efficient Process Reward Modeling via Contrastive Mutual Information Computational Lesions in Multilingual Language Models Separate Shared and Language-specific Brain Alignment Bridging Linguistic Gaps: Cross-Lingual Mapping in Pre-Training and Dataset for Enhanced Multilingual LLM Performance Early Decisions Matter: Proximity Bias and Initial Trajectory Shaping in Non-Autoregressive Diffusion Language Models LLMs Should Incorporate Explicit Mechanisms for Human Empathy
AlphaForgeBench: Benchmarking End-to-End Trading Strategy...
Wentao Zhang, Mingxuan Zhao, Jincheng Gao, Jieshun You, Huaiyu J · 2026-02-10 · via cs.AI updates on arXiv.org

The rapid advancement of Large Language Models (LLMs) has led to a surge of financial benchmarks, evolving from static knowledge evaluation toward interactive trading simulations. However, existing frameworks for evaluating real-time trading largely overlook a critical failure mode: the severe behavioral instability of LLMs in sequential decision-making under financial uncertainty. Through extensive experiments, we show that when deployed as trading agents, LLMs exhibit extreme run-to-run variance, generate inconsistent action sequences even under deterministic decoding, and frequently produce irrational action flipping across adjacent time steps. We attribute these behaviors to the stateless autoregressive nature of LLMs, which lack persistent memory of prior actions, together with their sensitivity to continuous-to-discrete action mappings in portfolio allocation tasks. These deficiencies fundamentally undermine the reliability and reproducibility of many existing online and offline trading benchmarks. To address these limitations, we propose AlphaForgeBench, a principled evaluation framework that redefines LLMs as quantitative researchers rather than stochastic trading agents. Instead of producing discrete trading actions, AlphaForgeBench requires models to generate executable alpha factors and compose factor-based trading strategies grounded in financial knowledge. This paradigm decouples reasoning from execution mechanics, enabling deterministic and reproducible evaluation while remaining aligned with real-world quantitative research workflows. Extensive experiments across multiple state-of-the-art LLMs demonstrate that AlphaForgeBench eliminates execution-induced instability and provides a rigorous benchmark for evaluating financial reasoning, strategy formulation, and alpha discovery. Webpage at https://finbrain-lab-hkustgz.github.io/AlphaForgeBench