Major League Baseball is back in action this Saturday with a full slate of games and all 30 teams on the schedule. Five games are under the lights after 10 games fill up the afternoon, giving everyone lots of chances to hunt down some strong home run props to consider. With warm weather in the forecast for most of the country, it should be a good night for long balls, especially in Vegas, where the altitude, heat and wind blowing out continue to set up an ideal home run environment at Las Vegas Ballpark. My top home run props from the 15 games on Saturday are Jordan Walker, Jac Caglianone and Max Muncy.

It should be a great day to swing for the fences with these juicy home run props!

Best MLB home run bets today

Best MLB home run bets today	Team	Why I like the pick
Jordan Walker	Cardinals	Walker is a great value at +451 in a good home run environment. He has a .339 ISO and .418 wOBA vs. LHP and has six XBH in his last seven games with a 50% hard-hit rate.
Jac Caglianone	Kansas City Royals	Caglianone is hitting .457 with three HR in his last 10 games. He has a 52% hard-hit rate and 16% barrel rate in those games, and he gets a favorable matchup against Mike Burrows.
Max Muncy	Athletics	Vegas continues to be a launching pad, and Muncy will be on the strong side of the splits against Kyle Freeland. He has a 53.7% hard-hit rate and 10.4% barrel rate this season and still offers value.

As we dig into the box and get ready to swing for the fences, let’s start with a reminder that all home run props are long-shot bets. However, when a player you’ve selected goes yard, it’s an awesome event to celebrate and can also quickly build your bankroll. Even the top power hitters are more likely not to homer than to go yard on any given day, though, so it’s important not to be too aggressive. By looking at the matchups, current form, game environment and history, some players stand out as good options. You can play these props individually or combine them in a parlay or round-robin format to maximize the potential payout.

Let’s dive in for a deeper look at these three plays on Saturday.

Top MLB home run props today: Analysis

Jordan Walker to hit a home run (+451)

Let’s get Saturday started right with a longshot home run prop from Jordan Walker, who will be leading his Cardinals into a matchup with Connor Prielipp and the Twins at Target Field in one of the earliest games of the day. The forecast in Minneapolis calls for temps over 70 with significant wind blowing out at around 15 mph.

Walker flashed his promise during short stints over his first few years in the majors, but he has really stepped up this season and become the key bat in the Cardinals’ surprisingly effective offense. The 24-year-old righty is hitting exactly .300 through his first 66 games this season with 17 home runs, already a new career high.

Even though he has faded from the public spotlight a little bit over the last few weeks, he continues to rake. He’s hitting .312 over his last 18 games with four homers and a 50% hard-hit rate. He has at least one extra-base hit in six of his last seven games, with 13 hard-hit balls over that span. He went yard against the Mets on Wednesday for his most recent blast.

He has hit lefties especially well for power this season, with a .339 ISO and .418 wOBA on that side of his splits. Young lefty Connor Prielipp, who he’ll face Saturday, has allowed four homers in 43 2/3 innings, but righties like Walker have done almost all the damage against him.

With a good homer environment and good splits, Walker is in a good spot to stay hot this Saturday afternoon, and getting him at over +450 seems like exceptional value.

Jac Caglianone to hit a home run (+376)

Like Walker, Caglianone is a highly touted prospect packed with plenty of power potential who seems to be starting to find his way in the majors. Caglianone got off to a slow start this season but he has caught fire lately, going 16-for-35 (.457) in his first 10 games in June, even after going 0-for-5 in the series opener against Houston. Caglianone has three homers, a 52% hard-hit rate and a 16% barrel rate during that stretch, and he connected on a pair of homers earlier this week in a home game against the Rangers.

Caglianone has a solid 15.4% barrel rate on the season, and the results are starting to follow his quality contact. The 23-year-old lefty has hit five of his eight homers at home, and five of his eight homers against righties. He’ll be on the strong side of both those splits in Saturday night’s matchup against Mike Burrows.

Burrows has gone 3-8 in his 13 starts for the Astros this season, allowing 17 homers and a .295 batting average in 73 1/3 innings. Lefties like Caglianone have hit 12 of those homers off Burrows and have a .428 wOBA, a .274 ISO and a 12.2% barrel rate against him this season.

After starting the series with a thud on Friday, Caglianone should be in a great spot to bounce back and get back on track with a blast this Saturday night in one of the two games starting just after 7:00 p.m. ET.

Max Muncy to hit a home run (+374)

Las Vegas Ballpark has proven to be a home run haven in the four games the A’s have played in the home of the Triple-A Las Vegas Aviators. When they move here permanently, it’ll be to a new indoor stadium, but for the rest of this weekend, they’ll be playing in the band box that has allowed 58 runs and 25 homers in the first four games of their temporary Vegas residency.

Since the Rockies will give the ball to sinker-balling lefty Kyle Freeland, the easy play here is Shea Langeliers (+145), and he’s a very solid play in the matchup. His odds are so short, though, that I’m looking for a little value with Max Muncy, who is another right-handed bat in the A’s order with good power potential.

Muncy has only two homers on the season, but he has been limited to 29 games by a fractured hand. He returned on Monday after missing over a month and went 1-for-5 with two RBIs. He went 2-for-4 with a double and two more RBIs on Friday night in the first game of this series against the Rockies.

Before the injury, Muncy had a good spring training and a solid start to the year, with his batted-ball metrics trending up. He has a 53.7% hard-hit rate on the year and a 10.4% barrel rate. During his rehab, he hit three homers and had two doubles for a .484 wOBA and .407 ISO. Those numbers are especially relevant since he did his rehab for the Aviators, including two home runs in his last two rehab games at the same park he’ll play at on Saturday night.

Kyle Freeland has a 7.81 ERA in his 11 starts this season and has surrendered 13 homers, 12 to righties like Muncy. Right-handed hitters are hitting .330 against Freeland this season with a .265 ISO, .423 wOBA and an 11.4% barrel rate.

The A’s will look to keep crushing in Vegas on Saturday night, and Muncy has a good shot to step into the action, making him a good value at this price point.