Major League Baseball has a jam-packed Sunday of series finales, but most of the action is early in the day. There are three late afternoon games starting after 3:00 p.m. ET, including a spotlight game on ABC between the Cubs and Giants and the series finale of the A’s series at Las Vegas Ballpark. The Sunday Night Baseball game is at Fenway Park, between the Rangers and Red Sox, so let’s take a look at those four later games and find a few home run props to attack. My top home run props from the late games on Sunday are from Cole Carrigg, Jonathan Aranda and Wilyer Abreu.

It should be a great day to swing for the fences with these juicy home run props!

Best MLB home run bets today

Best MLB home run bets today	Team	Why I like the pick
Cole Carrigg	Rockies	Carrigg brings great value in a great home run environment in Las Vegas. He’s in a great matchup against the A’s lefty Jeffrey Springs. The 24-year-old switch-hitter has two homers in his five MLB games after six homers in 57 games in Triple-A.
Jonathan Aranda	Rays	Lefties like Jonathan Aranda have a .333 batting average, .439 wOBA, .275 ISO, and a 61.0% hard-hit rate against Grayson Rodriguez. Aranda has 11 homers, with 10 against righties and a 15.4% barrel rate over his last 20 games.
Wilyer Abreu	Red Sox	Abreu is 10-for-38 (.278) with a .250 ISO, 14.3% barrel rate and two homers over his last nine games. He has two homers and is 3-for-7 in his career vs. Nathan Eovaldi.

As we dig into the box and get ready to swing for the fences, let’s start with a reminder that all home run props are long-shot bets. However, when a player you’ve selected goes yard, it’s an awesome event to celebrate and can also quickly build your bankroll. Even the top power hitters are more likely not to homer than to go yard on any given day, though, so it’s important not to be too aggressive. By looking at the matchups, current form, game environment and history, some players stand out as good options. You can play these props individually or combine them in a parlay or round-robin format to maximize the potential payout.

Let’s dive in for a deeper look at these three plays on Sunday.

Top MLB home run props today: Analysis

Cole Carrigg to hit a home run (+417)

Las Vegas Ballpark has been a launching pad this week, with the A’s visiting for six games against the Brewers and Rockies. In the first five games, the teams combined for 70 runs and 27 home runs. On Sunday, the afternoon will bring hot temperatures of around 100 degrees with the wind blowing out to center field. The elevation, wind, and dry air will create a great environment for long balls again. While most of the players’ odds have been significantly shortened, Carrigg still offers solid value at over +400.

Carrigg has proven he has the power to go yard with a pair of homers in his first five MLB games, including this one from earlier in the series in Vegas.

Carrigg hit six homers in his 57 games in Triple-A before his promotion as well, with a 38.8% hard-hit rate during his time in Albuquerque. He has a 35.7% hard-hit rate in the majors, with a 14.3% barrel rate, .421 ISO and a .366 wOBA. Carrigg has been starting in CF since arriving in Colorado, and has shown nice pop and excellent speed.

He’ll look to go yard on Sunday against lefty Jeffrey Springs of the A’s. Springs has allowed 16 homers in 14 games this season, and 11 of those homers have been hit by righties. Overall, righties are hitting .256 with a .217 ISO against Springs, with a 9.4% barrel rate. Springs started the season strong, but opponents have eight homers in his last four starts with an 11.9% barrel rate during that stretch.

The Rockies’ righties are in a great spot to producer long balls, and Carrigg’s hot bat is an intriguing play at these odds.

Jonathan Aranda to hit a home run (+449)

The Rays are looking to avoid a sweep in Anaheim as they take on Grayson Rodriguez. Rodriguez is 2-2 with an 8.10 ERA in his five starts. He has given up four homers in his 23 1/3 innings this season, with three of those homers in his 18 1/3 innings at home, where he has a 9.82 ERA and 5.07 FIP. Even though it’s a very small sample size, lefties have mashed Rodriguez this season, posting a .333 batting average, .439 wOBA, .275 ISO and a 61.0% hard-hit rate against him.

The Rays’ best power-hitting lefty this year has been Aranda, who has 11 homers and an 11.4% barrel rate on the season. He hasn’t homered since May 31 against the Angels, highlighted below, but he does have a a 15.4% barrel rate over his last 20 games.

TBR – Jonathan Aranda Solo HR (11)

📏 409 ft | 💨 109.2 mph | 📐 25°
⚾️ 98.4 mph four-seam fastball (LAA – RHP Jack Kochanowicz)
🏟️ Out in 30/30 parks 💣

LAA (0) @ TBR (1)
🔻 1st#RaysUp pic.twitter.com/cen5BlgLFd

— MLB Home Runs (@MLBHRs_) May 31, 2026

Ten of his 11 homers have come off righties like Rodriguez, and Aranda has crushed fastballs this season, which is the pitch that Rodriguez typically features. Even though his home run form hasn’t been great, he has a good chance to get back in the home run column on Sunday afternoon in Anaheim.

Wilyer Abreu to hit a home run (+372)

Abreu has good momentum coming into his Sunday Night Baseball matchup against former-Red Sox starting pitcher Nathan Eovaldi. Abreu has gone 10-for-38 (.278) with a .345 wOBA, .250 ISO, 14.3% barrel rate and two homers over his last nine games, and he went yard in Friday’s series-opener against the Rangers.

Abreu has hit two homers off Eovaldi in their past meetings as well, going 3-for-7 in the specific matchup. He has hit seven of his eight homers this year against righties, and has been making good contact most of the year.

Eovaldi has gone 5-7 with a 4.26 ERA and 15 homers allowed in his 13 games this season, with 10 of those 15 homers hit by lefties like Abreu. Overall, lefties have a 45.7% hard-hit rate and 12.1% barrel rate against Eovaldi on the year, setting Abreu up for success Sunday night.