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Prediction, pick for Mauricio Ruffy vs. Michael Chandler ...
Cooper Albers · 2026-06-15 · via DraftKings Network

Cooper Albers previews Mauricio Ruffy vs. Michael Chandler at UFC Freedom 250 at the White House.

Lightweight stars, past and present, will clash on the South Lawn of the White House, as surging prospect Mauricio Ruffy takes on full-throttle veteran Michael Chandler Sunday night at UFC Freedom 250.

Ruffy (13–2, 4–1 UFC) rebounded from his first UFC loss in January with a second-round TKO against Rafael Fiziev. Chandler (23–10, 2–5 UFC) has dropped three straight bouts, punctuated by a third-round TKO from Paddy Pimblett back in April 2025. 

Ruffy enters as an overwhelming -650 moneyline favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook. Chandler is a +470 underdog, with the fight total set at O/U 1.5 rounds.

Ruffy vs. Chandler Preview

Mauricio Ruffy (#9)

Mauricio Ruffy might be the closest thing to Conor McGregor that Michael Chandler’s ever going to get. The Brazilian “Fighting Nerds” prospect has surged up the lightweight ladder on the back of his fluid striking — ripe with flashy kickboxing, surgical precision, and dangerous counterattacks — a captivating style made famous by “Mystic Mac.”

Ruffy, 29, ended 2025 on a sour note with his first UFC loss, a second-round submission against Benoit Saint Denis in September. Undeterred, he rebounded in January with a standup masterclass against Rafael Fiziev — beating him into the ground en route to a second-round TKO. It was his 12th of 13 career wins to come by knockout or TKO, an exceptional resume that includes nine first-round finishes. 

Michael Chandler (#13)

Michael Chandler has spent much of his UFC tenure on the shelf, awaiting a super-fight that never materialized. The multi-time Bellator world champion has fought only twice in the last three years, and not since being stopped by Paddy Pimblett in April 2025. 

But even at 40, “Iron Mike” remains one of the most electrifying contenders on the active roster — an explosive, oftentimes reckless freak athlete with a propensity for putting on a show. In fact, the American’s “kill or be killed” mentality is likely what keeps him on the roster. By prioritizing entertainment over wins, he has produced what Arman Tsarukyan would describe as five “exciting” losses in the Octagon, four inside the distance. Chandler heads into Sunday on a three-fight skid, winless since he finished Tony “I’ve Lost Eight Fights In a Row” Ferguson in 2022.

Ruffy vs. Chandler Pick, Best Bet

While consistently making for must-see TV, Chandler’s modern-day gladiator approach is not conducive to victories — especially as he enters his fourth decade of existence. Ruffy wields the precision and timing of Chandler’s dream opponent, along with an 11-year age advantage. Count on the burgeoning Brazilian prospect to make quick work of the grizzled American. 

Best Bet: Mauricio Ruffy To Win And Under 1.5 Rounds (-140)