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The Texas Rangers are at Fenway Park for Sunday Night Baseball, taking on the Boston Red Sox. While both teams are under .500 and have fallen short of expectations this season, they are both still within five games of the AL Wild Card spot and looking to turn things around. The Red Sox won the first two games of the series, with Game 3 starting at 7:20 p.m. ET on NBC/Peacock in the final baseball matchup of the day. Let’s take a look at my top three best bets from the player prop market in this Sunday Night Baseball matchup.
The Red Sox are slight home favorites at -114 on the Moneyline, and they are getting 42% of the bets as of Sunday afternoon. The over/under is nine runs, with 58% of bets coming in on the over.
For each Major League Baseball matchup, DraftKings Sportsbook has a wide variety of batter and pitcher props on the board, so let’s take a look at a few strong plays for Sunday night.
After winning the first two games of the series, the Red Sox give the ball to promising lefty Connelly for the Sunday Night Baseball finale. Early has gone 5-4 in his 13 starts with a 3.30 ERA, 4.75 FIP and 1.23 WHIP. While he has had a few home run issues lately, his strikeouts have been consistent.
On the season, Early has 69 strikeouts in 71 innings, but over his six starts since May 1, he has been even better with 38 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings. In those six starts, he has surpassed this prop line in five starts, including each of his last three home starts against the Orioles, Braves and Rays.
He’ll have a slightly more favorable matchup on Sunday night against the Rangers, since the Rangers rank third in the majors in K% against lefties. Against lefties, they’re hitting only .228 as a team with a 94 wRC+. Early to get the win at +180 is a solid play if you want something with longer odds, but it’s a safer play to back him to go over his strikeout props since there are fewer factors in play.
Langford has three total bases in each of the first two games of this series and is finding his groove after missing all of May with a Grade 1 flexor strain in his forearm.
Since returning eight games ago, Langford is 8-for-32 (.250) with 13 total bases (1.6 total bases per game), and he has multiple total bases in three of his last six. He has moved back to the top of the order in three of his last six games as well and will likely lead off against the lefty Early.
While Langford’s splits are fairly even against lefties and righties, right-handed hitters have had more success against Early, hitting .235 with a .324 wOBA against him.
Even though I expect Early to have a solid game, Langford has been making good enough contact to expect him to get multiple total bases. He has at least one batted ball over 99 mph in seven of his eight games back and if he gets a hold of one on Sunday night, he can deliver on this plus-money prop.
Rafaela has had an up-and-down season, but overall, the 25-year-old has made major improvements at the plate. He’s averaging 1.83 HRR (hits, runs and RBI) per game on the year, and 2.5 HRR per game over his last 20 contests. He homered on both Thursday and Friday, and went 2-for-4 with a key two-run single on Saturday.
He has exactly 30 HRR over his last 10 games and has gone over this prop line five times, including each of his last three contests.
Rafaela is one of the few Red Sox hitters who is performing at Fenway this season, hitting .311 with seven doubles, four homers and a .397 wOBA at home. He hasn’t had any success against Eovaldi in their past meetings (going 0-for-6), but his dramatic improvement and premium lineup spot hitting second make him a stron play in this plus-money prop Sunday night.
I highlighted his teammate Wilyer Abreu in my home run props for the later slate, and you can mix in his player props as well if you want to go for higher-risk plays on Sunday night.
Stacking the three props in this post works as a nice parlay of Sunday Night Baseball prop bets. The odds multiply to a juicy +800 SGP (Same Game Parlay), as you can see below.

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