Zach Thompson gives his top teams to consider for MLB DFS stacks on Saturday’s daily fantasy baseball slate on DraftKings.
Major League Baseball has all 30 teams on the scoreboard this Saturday with 10 teams on the night slate, which begins at 7:10 p.m. ET. It should be a fun fantasy baseball night with plenty of fireworks since the forecast is warm and offense-friendly. Let’s take a look at the offensive environments and matchups and run down my top three plays in Saturday night’s MLB DFS Stacks.
Before we break down all the selections for these contests, let’s define exactly what we’re searching for. An ideal target for MLB DFS stacks is a team well-positioned to score plenty of runs based on its matchup and ballpark. “Stacking” is the strategy of adding multiple players from the same MLB lineup to your roster to boost each other’s production.
Ideally, MLB DFS stacks focus on players who are either back-to-back or from the same part of the lineup to allow positive correlation. Since most run-scoring plays produce fantasy points for multiple players, stacking a high-scoring team can carry your entry to the top of the leaderboard. The key to MLB DFS stacks paying off is finding the perfect matchup to attack, so let’s take a deeper look at the top spots.
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The Athletics have hit 17 homers in their four games in Las Vegas this week, scoring 31 runs and posting a .308 batting average, .442 wOBA and .391 ISO as a team. The desert air, the elevation, the dimensions of the minor league stadium, and the extremely hot weather have all played a part in the ball carrying extremely well at Las Vegas Ballpark this week.
The Rockies are going with veteran lefty Kyle Freeland ($6,100) on the mound on Saturday, who has a 7.81 ERA, 1.70 WHIP, and has allowed 13 homers in his 10 starts. On the road, he’s 0-4 with an 8.07 ERA. Righties are hitting .330 against Freeland with a 45.6% hard-hit rate and 11.4% barrel rate.
Nick Kurtz and Tyler Soderstrom are left-handed but have been productive enough to play even in a lefty-lefty matchup, though. Kurtz is averaging 19.6 FPTS over his last five games and Soderstrom has averaged 15.5 FPTS over his four games in Vegas.
Langeliers is the centerpiece of the right-handed stack against Freeland, and he’s worth even more due to his eligibility at a shallow position behind the plate. Langeliers has averaged 11.6 FPTS over his last five games and has hit safely in six straight. Gelof can fit at 2B or 3B, two other tricky positions on some slates, and has averaged 11.75 FPTS per game in his four games in Vegas.
Max Muncy and Jacob Wilson are still good values since they’re just coming back from injury. I highlighted Muncy in my home run props for today, and Wilson is a bargain at just over $3,000 after he returned from missing a month with a shoulder issue. Henry Bolte has also had a great stay in Vegas, producing 9.0 FPTS per game.
The Royals battled back on Friday after giving up nine runs in the first inning to the Astros. Their rally fell short in their 10-8 loss, but the offense continues to be better lately than it was early in the year. On Saturday, they’ll take on Mike Burrows ($7,000), who is 3-8 with a 5.77 ERA overall in his 13 starts with a 1.57 WHIP and 14 homers against him. Lefties have teed off against Burrows, hitting .321 with a .428 wOBA, .274 ISO and 12.2% barrel rate.
Even though he’s a righty, Bobby Witt Jr. can be the center of a Royals stack on any slate, so he makes sense to start with if you have the salary available. He has averaged 9.7 FPTS over his last 12 games. He has a 50% hard-hit rate 13.5% barrel rate over his last 17 games, with eight stolen bases during that span.
Caglianone is 16-for-35 (.457) with three homers, two doubles and two stolen bases for an average of 12.7 FPTS per game. Pasquantino is averaging 9.2 FPTS per game over his last nine, and Jensen has upside from behind the plate after averaging 7.9 FPTS in his last seven games.
If you want a bargain to round out your Royals stack, Collins makes sense since he’ll face Burrows as a lefty and is averaging 5.0 FPTS per game over his last eight games.
On the other side of what could be a slugfest in Vegas, the Rockies come loaded with value plays against Joey Estes ($6,200). Estes went 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 8.76 FIP in 11 innings last season and has spent this season in Triple-A, pitching for the Aviators in Las Vegas. He is 2-6 in 12 starts with a 5.95 ERA and 6.68 FIP in 59 innings in Triple-A, so the Rockies should be in a good spot to produce against him on Saturday.
Goodman and Rumfield bring good power production potential at their price points. Rumfield has 9+ FPTS in three straight games and is averaging 7.6 FPTS over his last 10. Goodman is averaging 12.6 FPTS per game over that span, but went 0-for-4 without any FPTS in the series opener on Friday.
McCarthy has missed the last three games with illness, but could return on Saturday and bring excellent upside if he’s back in the leadoff spot. Willi Castro is heating up with 8+ FPTS in four of his last six games and is averaging 8.4 FPTS over his last 10.
One of the best value plays on the evening slate is Rockies rookie Cole Carrigg, who homered on Friday for 18 FPTS. He has 10+ FPTS in three of his four games since his promotion earlier this week after slashing .338/.414/.529 with six home runs and 30 stolen bases in 57 games for Triple-A Albuquerque.
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