Summary

• The LSEG U.S. Retail and Restaurant Q1 earnings index, which tracks changes in the growth rate of earnings within the sector, is expected to show a 25.2% growth over last year’s levels.
• Of the 188 retailers tracked by LSEG, the broadline retail sector is headed for the highest earnings growth rate in the first quarter, recording a 73.1% surge over last year’s level.
• At the other end of the spectrum, Household Durables has the weakest anticipated Q1 2026 estimate, with profits expected to decline by -25.6%.

By Jharonne Martis

The LSEG U.S. Retail and Restaurant Q1 earnings index, which tracks changes in the growth rate of earnings within the sector, is expected to show a 25.2% growth over last year’s levels. Our metrics show that

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