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The Decoder

The AI industry's platform trap is starting to look a lot like Microsoft's OpenAI buys Ona to push Codex toward long-running, autonomous coding tasks Jeff Bezos' AI startup Prometheus closes $12 billion round at a $41 billion valuation Free Deezer tool lets users on any streaming service check their playlists for AI music OpenAI vs. Anthropic: A price war over API tokens is brewing Dario Amodei's new essay reads like a Cold War playbook for the AI age Claude Fable 5: Anthropic admits "wrong tradeoff" after invisibly throttling rival AI researchers Google's new open model DiffusionGemma generates text from noise instead of word by word OpenAI's IPO slips as Altman tells staff to expect a public offering "within the next year" Anthropic study shows AI needs hours, not weeks, to build exploits from security patches OpenAI wants its biggest data center yet, and Nvidia would back the bill Claude Fable 5: The first Mythos model is powerful, expensive, and heavily filtered Germany's National Security Council greenights an AI Safety Institute modeled after the UK's AISI Google's NotebookLM now runs its own cloud computer with code execution and agent-based research Anthropic releases Claude Fable 5 and Mythos 5 with major gains in coding and science Google's Gemini 3.5 Live Translate delivers real-time voice translation across 70+ languages SpaceX wants to put data centers in orbit, and Musk says it's no big deal Landmark German ruling declares Google's AI Overviews are Google's own words and makes it liable for false answers Beijing's $295 billion AI buildout would require 80 percent domestic chips, locking out US suppliers Apple Intelligence gets a second shot with help from Google and Nvidia OpenAI now says "entirely automating everything is not the future we want" OpenAI says going public is "a complicated set of tradeoffs" and is unsure about the timing Microsoft Research's Lens proves detailed captions matter more than raw scale for training efficient image generators Intel gets a second life as Google and Nvidia explore it as a TSMC backup for AI chips Most companies are flying blind on AI spending Frontier Radar #3: How agentic AI is turning tokens into a business metric Instagram AI chatbot breach may have affected over to 20,000 accounts, Meta discloses Microsoft tightens rules for conflict zones after investigation into Israel's military use of Azure Moonshot AI targets a $30 billion valuation, more than six times its late-2025 worth Deepseek topped Ramp's trending software vendors in June 2026 as US companies chase cheaper AI
Vibecoding is becoming a deal-breaker test for software a...
Maximilian Schreiner · 2026-06-22 · via The Decoder

To assess the competitive edge of acquisition targets, consulting firm Bain & Company is vibecoding replicas of their software. The AI-generated mock-ups are already shaping concrete buying decisions.

According to the Financial Times, the AI-generated replicas are meant to show potential buyers how hard it would be to reproduce a target company's technology. As the cost of building software drops fast, that question carries more weight. The mock-ups also help gauge how a product might evolve.

Bain says hundreds of rough prototypes have already been vibecoded as part of the firm's AI due diligence work. What started in 2023 as a job for a dedicated team of software engineers is now being used by rank-and-file consultants.

"It's kind of the difference between seeing something in 2D versus 3D," says Rebecca Burack, head of Bain's global private equity practice. The firm uses vibecoding "to show what a software company can and can't do, to understand where it fits in the value chain and to understand whether it is the actual code that is the defensible part of the business or something else," she said.

AI replicas are already influencing bidding processes

Public markets are already pricing in AI disruption. Enterprise software vendors like Salesforce and ServiceNow have lost more than a third of their value this year. In private markets, the total value of private equity-led tech, telecom, and media deals collapsed by 69 percent in the first quarter of 2026 compared with the final quarter of 2025, according to KPMG data.

Two Silicon Valley private equity executives told the FT they had slowed their dealmaking and stepped up scrutiny of AI risk in every target they looked at. "If it's in the question box, we're not going to touch it," one of them said. The second investor explained that a Bain-vibecoded recreation of an analytics platform had played a role in their firm's decision to drop out of the bidding.

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