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Generic Bounds on the Maximum Deviations in Sequential Pr...
Song Fang, Quanyan Zhu · 2019-10-12 · via cs.IT updates on arXiv.org

In this paper, we derive generic bounds on the maximum deviations in prediction errors for sequential prediction via an information-theoretic approach. The fundamental bounds are shown to depend only on the conditional entropy of the data point to be predicted given the previous data points. In the asymptotic case, the bounds are achieved if and only if the prediction error is white and uniformly distributed.