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math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
A High Dimensional Wild Bootstrap Max-Test for Detecting ...
Jonathan B. Hill · 2026-04-30 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

We construct a block bootstrap max-test for detecting the presence of significant predictors in a high dimensional setting, allowing for weakly dependent and heterogeneous (possibly non-stationary) data. The number of covariates to be screened may be large $p$ $>>$ $n$, and growing at an exponential rate, provided $\ln (p)$ $=$ $o(n^{a})$ for some $a$ $>$ $0$ that depends on memory decay and the growth of higher moments. We study the problem of correlation screening in a high dimensional marginal regression setting, assuming so-called \textit{physical dependence} in a time series setting. We entirely sidestep covariance matrix estimation and adaptive re-sampling by working with a max-statistic over the many computed parameters. Thus we do not need endogenous selection of the most relevant predictor index yielding non-uniform asymptotics, nor do we need a post-estimation Bonferroni correction. The non-standard limit distribution arising from the maximum of an increasing number of estimators is easily approximated by a multiplier (wild) block bootstrap. The max-test controls for size well, performs well against various deviations from the null, including very slight deviations with a weak or sparse signal. A numerical experiment is performed and an empirical example with the VIX volatility index is provided.