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What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
On the achievability of efficiency bounds for covariate-a...
Jiahui Xin, Wei Ma · 2024-11-25 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

In the context of precision medicine, covariate-adjusted response-adaptive randomization (CARA) has garnered much attention from both academia and industry due to its benefits in providing ethical and tailored treatment assignments based on patients' profiles while still preserving favorable statistical properties. Recent years have seen substantial progress in understanding the inference for various adaptive experimental designs. In particular, research has focused on two important perspectives: how to obtain robust inference in the presence of model misspecification, and what the smallest variance, i.e., the efficiency bound, an estimator can achieve. Notably, Armstrong (2022) derived the asymptotic efficiency bound for any randomization procedure that assigns treatments depending on covariates and accrued responses, thus including CARA, among others. However, to the best of our knowledge, no existing literature has addressed whether and how the asymptotic efficiency bound can be achieved under CARA. In this paper, by connecting two strands of literature on adaptive randomization, namely robust inference and efficiency bound, we provide a definitive answer to this question for an important practical scenario where only discrete covariates are observed and used to form stratification. We consider a specific type of CARA, i.e., a stratified version of doubly-adaptive biased coin design, and prove that the stratified difference-in-means estimator achieves Armstrong (2022)'s efficiency bound, with possible ethical constraints on treatment assignments. Our work provides new insights and demonstrates the potential for more research regarding the design and analysis of CARA that maximizes efficiency while adhering to ethical considerations. Future studies could explore how to achieve the asymptotic efficiency bound for general CARA with continuous covariates, which remains an open question.