惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
月光博客
月光博客
博客园 - Franky
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
爱范儿
爱范儿
博客园 - 司徒正美
博客园 - 叶小钗
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
美团技术团队
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
The Cloudflare Blog
B
Blog RSS Feed
阮一峰的网络日志
阮一峰的网络日志
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
V
Visual Studio Blog
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
IT之家
IT之家
博客园_首页
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
A
About on SuperTechFans
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
GbyAI
GbyAI
H
Help Net Security
MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog

math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Bayes factors and the geometry of discrete hierarchical l...
Gerard Letac, Helene Massam · 2011-03-28 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

A standard tool for model selection in a Bayesian framework is the Bayes factor which compares the marginal likelihood of the data under two given different models. In this paper, we consider the class of hierarchical loglinear models for discrete data given under the form of a contingency table with multinomial sampling. We assume that the Diaconis-Ylvisaker conjugate prior is the prior distribution on the loglinear parameters and the uniform is the prior distribution on the space of models. Under these conditions, the Bayes factor between two models is a function of their prior and posterior normalizing constants. These constants are functions of the hyperparameters $(m,α)$ which can be interpreted respectively as marginal counts and the total count of a fictive contingency table. We study the behaviour of the Bayes factor when $α$ tends to zero. In this study two mathematical objects play a most important role. They are, first, the interior $C$ of the convex hull $\bar{C}$ of the support of the multinomial distribution for a given hierarchical loglinear model together with its faces and second, the characteristic function $\mathbb{J}_C$ of this convex set $C$. We show that, when $α$ tends to 0, if the data lies on a face $F_i$ of $\bar{C_i},i=1,2$ of dimension $k_i$, the Bayes factor behaves like $α^{k_1-k_2}$. This implies in particular that when the data is in $C_1$ and in $C_2$, i.e. when $k_i$ equals the dimension of model $J_i$, the sparser model is favored, thus confirming the idea of Bayesian regularization.