惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News
罗磊的独立博客
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
Last Week in AI
Last Week in AI
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
Y
Y Combinator Blog
A
About on SuperTechFans
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
B
Blog
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
Jina AI
Jina AI
I
InfoQ
P
Proofpoint News Feed
小众软件
小众软件
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
V
V2EX
B
Blog RSS Feed
量子位
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
MongoDB | Blog
MongoDB | Blog
美团技术团队

math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
IV regression with distribution-valued outcomes
David Van Dijcke, Kaspar Wüthrich · 2026-05-28 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

We develop IV Fréchet regression (IVFR), an instrumental-variable (IV) method for settings where the outcome is an entire distribution. Framing the problem as an IV regression in 2-Wasserstein space, IVFR extends global Fréchet regression to the case with endogenous covariates. IVFR projects IV-weighted quantile curves onto the space of valid distributions and then recovers the corresponding regression coefficient functions. The projection provably reduces the estimation error in finite samples and guarantees valid fitted distributions. We show that the IVFR estimator converges weakly to a mean-zero Gaussian process and establish the validity of a multiplier bootstrap procedure for uniform inference. In simulations, the projection reduces the integrated mean squared error (IMSE) by up to 63% relative to existing methods. Revisiting the effects of Chinese import competition on the wage distribution within commuting zones, the proposed method produces 9-10% narrower confidence bands than existing methods. Using our novel uniform confidence bands, we find no evidence that import competition reduced wages at the very bottom of the distribution, but only between the 10th and 35th quantile. We also revisit the effect of county food stamp programs on the county's birth weight distribution and find no significant effects.