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What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
Computational issues and numerical experiments for Linear...
Daniela Calvetti, Salvatore Cuomo, Monica Pragliola, Erkki Somer · 2016-05-17 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

The Linear Multistep Method Particle Filter (LMM PF) is a method for predicting the evolution in time of a evolutionary system governed by a system of differential equations. If some of the parameters of the governing equations are unknowns, it is possible to organize the calculations so as to estimate them while following the evolution of the system in time. The underlying assumption in the approach that we present is that all unknowns are modelled as random variables, where the randomness is an indication of the uncertainty of their values rather than an intrinsic property of the quantities. Consequently, the states of the system and the parameters are described in probabilistic terms by their density, often in the form of representative samples. This approach is particularly attractive in the context of parameter estimation inverse problems, because the statistical formulation naturally provides a means of assessing the uncertainty in the solution via the spread of the distribution. The computational efficiency of the underlying sampling technique is crucial for the success of the method, because the accuracy of the solution depends on the ability to produce representative samples from the distribution of the unknown parameters. In this paper LMM PF is tested on a skeletal muscle metabolism problem, which was previously treated within the Ensemble Kalman filtering framework. Here numerical evidences are used to highlight the correlation between the main sources of errors and the influence of the linera multistep method adopted. Finally, we analyzed the effect of replacing LMM with Runge-Kutta class integration methods for supporting the PF technique.