惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

月光博客
月光博客
有赞技术团队
有赞技术团队
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
量子位
小众软件
小众软件
The Cloudflare Blog
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
大猫的无限游戏
大猫的无限游戏
C
Check Point Blog
G
Google Developers Blog
博客园 - 叶小钗
H
Help Net Security
Jina AI
Jina AI
Y
Y Combinator Blog
Last Week in AI
Last Week in AI
GbyAI
GbyAI
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
Vercel News
Vercel News

math.ST updates on arXiv.org

What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Learning Perturbations to Extrapolate Your LLM Byzantine-Robust Distributed Sparse Learning Revisited The Sample Complexity of Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling Model-based Bootstrap of Controlled Markov Chains Approximation of Maximally Monotone Operators : A Graph Convergence Perspective Posterior Contraction Rates for Sparse Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks in Anisotropic Besov Spaces MIST: Reliable Streaming Decision Trees for Online Class-Incremental Learning via McDiarmid Bound A Spectral Framework for Closed-Form Relative Density Estimation Fast Rates for Offline Contextual Bandits with Forward-KL Regularization under Single-Policy Concentrability Higher-Order Equilibrium Tracking for EM-Compressible Online Estimation Scaling Limits of Long-Context Transformers A Note on Non-Negative $L_1$-Approximating Polynomials Susceptibilities and Patterning: A Primer on Linear Response in Bayesian Learning Linear Response Estimators for Singular Statistical Models Statistical inference with belief functions: A survey Robust stochastic first order methods in heavy-tailed noise via medoid mini-batch gradient sampling Every Feedforward Neural Network Definable in an o-Minimal Structure Has Finite Sample Complexity Adaptive auditing of AI systems with anytime-valid guarantees Locally Near Optimal Piecewise Linear Regression in High Dimensions via Difference of Max-Affine Functions Risk-Controlled Post-Processing of Decision Policies Covariate Balancing and Riesz Regression Should Be Guided by the Neyman Orthogonal Score in Debiased Machine Learning A Unified Pair-GRPO Family: From Implicit to Explicit Preference Constraints for Stable and General RL Alignment Time-Inhomogeneous Preconditioned Langevin Dynamics A Fine-Grained Understanding of Uniform Convergence for Halfspaces CITE: Anytime-Valid Statistical Inference in LLM Self-Consistency Ratio-based Loss Functions Optimal Confidence Band for Kernel Gradient Flow Estimator A renormalization-group inspired lattice-based framework for piecewise generalized linear models
An irregularly spaced first-order moving average model
Cesar Ojeda, Wilfredo Palma, Susana Eyheramendy, Felipe Elorriet · 2021-05-14 · via math.ST updates on arXiv.org

A novel first-order moving-average model for analyzing time series observed at irregularly spaced intervals is introduced. Two definitions are presented, which are equivalent under Gaussianity. The first one relies on normally distributed data and the specification of second-order moments. The second definition provided is more flexible in the sense that it allows for considering other distributional assumptions. The statistical properties are investigated along with the one-step linear predictors and their mean squared errors. It is established that the process is strictly stationary under normality and weakly stationary in the general case. Maximum likelihood and bootstrap estimation procedures are discussed and the finite-sample behavior of these estimates is assessed through Monte Carlo experiments. In these simulations, both methods perform well in terms of estimation bias and standard errors, even with relatively small sample sizes. Moreover, we show that for non-Gaussian data, for t-Student and Generalized errors distributions, the parameters of the model can be estimated precisely by maximum likelihood. The proposed IMA model is compared to the continuous autoregressive moving average (CARMA) models, exhibiting good performance. Finally, the practical application and usefulness of the proposed model are illustrated with two real-life data examples.