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Eliciting reference measures of law-invariant functionals
[Submitted on 18 Jul 2025 (v1), last revised 4 Aug 2026 (this ve · 2025-07-18 · via math.PR updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Law-invariant functionals are central to risk management and assign identical values to random prospects sharing the same distribution under an atomless reference probability measure. This measure is typically assumed fixed. Here, we adopt the reverse perspective: given only observed functional values, we aim to either recover the reference measure or identify a candidate measure to test for law invariance when that property is not {\em a priori} satisfied. Our approach is based on a key observation about law-invariant functionals defined on law-invariant domains. These functionals define lower (upper) supporting sets in dual spaces of signed measures, and the suprema (infima) of these supporting sets---if they exist---are scalar multiples of the reference measure. In specific cases, this observation can be formulated as a sandwich theorem. We illustrate the methodology through a detailed analysis of prominent examples: the entropic risk measure, Expected Shortfall, and Value-at-Risk. For the latter, our elicitation procedure initially fails due to the triviality of supporting set extrema. We therefore develop a suitable modification.

Submission history

From: Felix-Benedikt Liebrich [view email]
[v1] Fri, 18 Jul 2025 09:16:20 UTC (32 KB)
[v2] Mon, 9 Feb 2026 16:35:11 UTC (33 KB)
[v3] Tue, 4 Aug 2026 10:55:34 UTC (32 KB)