惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
阮一峰的网络日志
阮一峰的网络日志
freeCodeCamp Programming Tutorials: Python, JavaScript, Git & More
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
钛媒体:引领未来商业与生活新知
雷峰网
雷峰网
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
博客园 - 司徒正美
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
奇客Solidot–传递最新科技情报
宝玉的分享
宝玉的分享
爱范儿
爱范儿
月光博客
月光博客
The GitHub Blog
The GitHub Blog
M
MIT News - Artificial intelligence
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
B
Blog
T
Tailwind CSS Blog
美团技术团队
D
Docker
V
Visual Studio Blog
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
博客园 - 聂微东
The Cloudflare Blog

math.PR updates on arXiv.org

Visibility in the Boolean Model on Harmonic Manifolds Global estimates on the Brenier map Geodesics and Wandering Exponents in Brochette First-Passage Percolation State-dependent inverse-subordinator time changes of regenerative processes: Excursion structure and multiscale occupation-time limits Randomly twisted transfer operators and singular values statistics Generalized Bessel-Dunkl diffusions An almost sure invariance principle for the Takagi-van der Waerden class functions Central limit theorems for high dimensional lattice polytopes: cosmological polytopes Convergence rate estimates for semigroups and heat kernels associated with resistance forms Second-order Poincaré inequalities and localization on the Poisson space Maximum Probability of Independence in Transitive Matroids On global solutions to the semidiscrete stochastic heat equation The Poisson Tail Conjecture for primes in short intervals A Complete Spectral Analysis of the CEV Operator with Applications to Arbitrage Holographic functions and neural networks From Betting to Empirical Bernstein LIL Concentration of General Stochastic Approximation Under Heavy-Tailed Markovian Noise Pointwise Generalization in Deep Neural Networks Bayesian Latent Space Models for Graphs Are Misspecified: Toward Robust Inference via Generalized Posteriors Wasserstein bounds for denoising diffusion probabilistic models via the Föllmer process A note on connections between the Föllmer process and the denoising diffusion probabilistic model Simple Approximation and Derivative Free Inference-Time Scaling for Diffusion Models via Sequential Monte Carlo on Path Measures Diffusion-Based Stochastic Operator Networks for Uncertainty Quantification in Stochastic Partial Differential Equations A Fourier perspective on the learning dynamics of neural networks: from sample complexities to mechanistic insights Propagation of Chaos in Contextual Flow Maps Dimension-Uniform Discretization Analysis of Preconditioned Annealed Langevin Dynamics for Multimodal Gaussian Mixtures $α$-TCAV: A Unified Framework for Testing with Concept Activation Vectors Scaling Laws from Sequential Feature Recovery: A Solvable Hierarchical Model On the Limits of Latent Reuse in Diffusion Models State-of-art minibatches via novel DPP kernels: discretization, wavelets, and rough objectives
Forest fire spreading: a nonlinear stochastic model conti...
Roberto Beneduci, Giovanni Mascali · 2023-09-01 · via math.PR updates on arXiv.org

Forest fire spreading is a complex phenomenon characterized by a stochastic behavior. Nowadays, the enormous quantity of georeferenced data and the availability of powerful techniques for their analysis can provide a very careful picture of forest fires opening the way to more realistic models. We propose a stochastic spreading model continuous in space and time that is able to use such data in their full power. The state of the forest fire is described by the subprobability densities of the green trees and of the trees on fire that can be estimated thanks to data coming from satellites and earth detectors. The fire dynamics is encoded into a density probability kernel which can take into account wind conditions, land slope, spotting phenomena and so on, bringing to a system of integro-differential equations for the probability densities. Existence and uniqueness of the solutions is proved by using Banach's fixed point theorem. The asymptotic behavior of the model is analyzed as well. Stochastic models based on cellular automata can be considered as particular cases of the present model from which they can be derived by space and/or time discretization. Suggesting a particular structure for the kernel, we obtain numerical simulations of the fire spreading under different conditions. For example, in the case of a forest fire evolving towards a river, the simulations show that the probability density of the trees on fire is different from zero beyond the river due to the spotting phenomenon. Firefighters interventions and weather changes can be easily introduced into the model.