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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
A Stable Measure of Similarity for Time Series using Pers...
Bala Krishnamoorthy, Elizabeth P. Thompson · 2025-01-06 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Persistent homology, the study of holes that appear in data as one thickens balls centered around its points over time, has theoretically guaranteed stability. That is, small data perturbations guarantee small changes in the lifetimes of these holes. This stability has been used to construct a measure of periodicity for a single univariate time series, denoted score(f1). One popular measure of similarity between two time series is percent determinism (%DET), which measures the correlation between two time-series embeddings. We introduce a novel persistent-homology based measure of time-series similarity which we denote the bi-conditional periodicity score, score(f1,f2). We prove the stability of our measure under small time series and frequency perturbations, as well as the existence of a minimum embedding dimension for the convergence of our score. Our latter result implies that larger embedding dimensions may be necessary to reach desired levels of convergence. Since pairwise distances between points in these larger dimensions may start to concentrate, we also prove the stability of our measure under dimension reduction which guarantees that as long as the first K principal components capture a majority of the variance under orthogonal projection, the score will undergo small changes. We next introduce an algorithm for computing the bi-conditional periodicity score and deduce its computational complexity as O(N log N + PK^2 + P^6) for N the number of time series points, P the number of embedding points, and K the number of principal components. We experimentally verify the greater stability of our measure in comparison with %DET on both synthetic time series as well as real climate data. As well, score(f1,f2) requires only one parameter for its computation while %DET requires four.