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Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Ramifications of Approximate Posterior Inference for Baye...
John Mitros, Arjun Pakrashi, Brian Mac Namee · 2020-09-04 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Deep neural networks have been successful in diverse discriminative classification tasks, although, they are poorly calibrated often assigning high probability to misclassified predictions. Potential consequences could lead to trustworthiness and accountability of the models when deployed in real applications, where predictions are evaluated based on their confidence scores. Existing solutions suggest the benefits attained by combining deep neural networks and Bayesian inference to quantify uncertainty over the models' predictions for ambiguous datapoints. In this work we propose to validate and test the efficacy of likelihood based models in the task of out of distribution detection (OoD). Across different datasets and metrics we show that Bayesian deep learning models on certain occasions marginally outperform conventional neural networks and in the event of minimal overlap between in/out distribution classes, even the best models exhibit a reduction in AUC scores in detecting OoD data. Preliminary investigations indicate the potential inherent role of bias due to choices of initialisation, architecture or activation functions. We hypothesise that the sensitivity of neural networks to unseen inputs could be a multi-factor phenomenon arising from the different architectural design choices often amplified by the curse of dimensionality. Furthermore, we perform a study to find the effect of the adversarial noise resistance methods on in and out-of-distribution performance, as well as, also investigate adversarial noise robustness of Bayesian deep learners.