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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Recovering Joint Probability of Discrete Random Variables...
Shahana Ibrahim, Xiao Fu · 2020-06-30 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Learning the joint probability of random variables (RVs) is the cornerstone of statistical signal processing and machine learning. However, direct nonparametric estimation for high-dimensional joint probability is in general impossible, due to the curse of dimensionality. Recent work has proposed to recover the joint probability mass function (PMF) of an arbitrary number of RVs from three-dimensional marginals, leveraging the algebraic properties of low-rank tensor decomposition and the (unknown) dependence among the RVs. Nonetheless, accurately estimating three-dimensional marginals can still be costly in terms of sample complexity, affecting the performance of this line of work in practice in the sample-starved regime. Using three-dimensional marginals also involves challenging tensor decomposition problems whose tractability is unclear. This work puts forth a new framework for learning the joint PMF using only pairwise marginals, which naturally enjoys a lower sample complexity relative to the third-order ones. A coupled nonnegative matrix factorization (CNMF) framework is developed, and its joint PMF recovery guarantees under various conditions are analyzed. Our method also features a Gram--Schmidt (GS)-like algorithm that exhibits competitive runtime performance. The algorithm is shown to provably recover the joint PMF up to bounded error in finite iterations, under reasonable conditions. It is also shown that a recently proposed economical expectation maximization (EM) algorithm guarantees to improve upon the GS-like algorithm's output, thereby further lifting up the accuracy and efficiency. Real-data experiments are employed to showcase the effectiveness.