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On Average-Case Error Bounds for Kernel-Based Bayesian Qu...
Xu Cai, Chi Thanh Lam, Jonathan Scarlett · 2022-02-22 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

In this paper, we study error bounds for {\em Bayesian quadrature} (BQ), with an emphasis on noisy settings, randomized algorithms, and average-case performance measures. We seek to approximate the integral of functions in a {\em Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space} (RKHS), particularly focusing on the Matérn-$ν$ and squared exponential (SE) kernels, with samples from the function potentially being corrupted by Gaussian noise. We provide a two-step meta-algorithm that serves as a general tool for relating the average-case quadrature error with the $L^2$-function approximation error. When specialized to the Matérn kernel, we recover an existing near-optimal error rate while avoiding the existing method of repeatedly sampling points. When specialized to other settings, we obtain new average-case results for settings including the SE kernel with noise and the Matérn kernel with misspecification. Finally, we present algorithm-independent lower bounds that have greater generality and/or give distinct proofs compared to existing ones.