惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
Y
Y Combinator Blog
Blog — PlanetScale
Blog — PlanetScale
H
Hackread – Cybersecurity News, Data Breaches, AI and More
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
B
Blog RSS Feed
A
About on SuperTechFans
V
Visual Studio Blog
J
Java Code Geeks
U
Unit 42
人人都是产品经理
人人都是产品经理
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements
M
MIT News - Artificial intelligence
IT之家
IT之家
The Cloudflare Blog
T
The Blog of Author Tim Ferriss
C
Check Point Blog
博客园 - 叶小钗
P
Proofpoint News Feed
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
B
Blog
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
Microsoft Azure Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog

stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Reassessing How to Compare and Improve the Calibration of...
Muthu Chidambaram, Rong Ge · 2024-06-06 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

A machine learning model is calibrated if its predicted probability for an outcome matches the observed frequency for that outcome conditional on the model prediction. This property has become increasingly important as the impact of machine learning models has continued to spread to various domains. As a result, there are now a dizzying number of recent papers on measuring and improving the calibration of (specifically deep learning) models. In this work, we reassess the reporting of calibration metrics in the recent literature. We show that there exist trivial recalibration approaches that can appear seemingly state-of-the-art unless calibration and prediction metrics (i.e. test accuracy) are accompanied by additional generalization metrics such as negative log-likelihood. We then use a calibration-based decomposition of Bregman divergences to develop a new extension to reliability diagrams that jointly visualizes calibration and generalization error, and show how our visualization can be used to detect trade-offs between calibration and generalization. Along the way, we prove novel results regarding the relationship between full calibration error and confidence calibration error for Bregman divergences. We also establish the consistency of the kernel regression estimator for calibration error used in our visualization approach, which generalizes existing consistency results in the literature.