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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Probabilistic Learning and Generation in Deep Sequence Mo...
Wenlong Chen · 2026-03-01 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Despite exceptional predictive performance of Deep sequence models (DSMs), the main concern of their deployment centers around the lack of uncertainty awareness. In contrast, probabilistic models quantify the uncertainty associated with unobserved variables with rules of probability. Notably, Bayesian methods leverage Bayes' rule to express our belief of unobserved variables in a principled way. Since exact Bayesian inference is computationally infeasible at scale, approximate inference is required in practice. Two major bottlenecks of Bayesian methods, especially when applied in deep neural networks, are prior specification and approximation quality. In Chapter 3 & 4, we investigate how the architectures of DSMs themselves can be informative for the design of priors or approximations in probabilistic models. We first develop an approximate Bayesian inference method tailored to the Transformer based on the similarity between attention and sparse Gaussian process. Next, we exploit the long-range memory preservation capability of HiPPOs (High-order Polynomial Projection Operators) to construct an interdomain inducing point for Gaussian process, which successfully memorizes the history in online learning. In addition to the progress of DSMs in predictive tasks, sequential generative models consisting of a sequence of latent variables are popularized in the domain of deep generative models. Inspired by the explicit self-supervised signals for these latent variables in diffusion models, in Chapter 5, we explore the possibility of improving other generative models with self-supervision for their sequential latent states, and investigate desired probabilistic structures over them. Overall, this thesis leverages inductive biases in DSMs to design probabilistic inference or structure, which bridges the gap between DSMs and probabilistic models, leading to mutually reinforced improvement.