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stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

Adaptive multi-fidelity optimization with fast learning rates Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction Sample Complexity Bounds for Stochastic Shortest Path with a Generative Model The Harder Path: Last Iterate Convergence for Uncoupled Learning in Zero-Sum Games with Bandit Feedback Stylistic-STORM (ST-STORM) : Perceiving the Semantic Nature of Appearance Collective Kernel EFT for Pre-activation ResNets PRIM-cipal components analysis One-Shot Generative Flows: Existence and Obstructions Structural interpretability in SVMs with truncated orthogonal polynomial kernels Amortized Optimal Transport from Sliced Potentials MinShap: A Modified Shapley Value Approach for Feature Selection Unsupervised feature selection using Bayesian Tucker decomposition Multi-User mmWave Beam and Rate Adaptation via Combinatorial Satisficing Bandits Best of both worlds: Stochastic & adversarial best-arm identification Scalable Model-Based Clustering with Sequential Monte Carlo Expert-Guided Class-Conditional Goodness-of-Fit Scores for Interpretable Classification with Informative Missingness: An Application to Seismic Monitoring Lightweight Geometric Adaptation for Training Physics-Informed Neural Networks Gating Enables Curvature: A Geometric Expressivity Gap in Attention Zeroth-Order Optimization at the Edge of Stability Differentially Private Conformal Prediction CLion: Efficient Cautious Lion Optimizer with Enhanced Generalization Generative Augmented Inference Improving Machine Learning Performance with Synthetic Augmentation PAC-MCTS: Bias-Aware Pruning for Robust LLM-Guided Search and Planning Path-Sampled Integrated Gradients Heat and Matérn Kernels on Matchings Doubly Outlier-Robust Online Infinite Hidden Markov Model Momentum Further Constrains Sharpness at the Edge of Stochastic Stability Multistage Conditional Compositional Optimization BOAT: Navigating the Sea of In Silico Predictors for Antibody Design via Multi-Objective Bayesian Optimization
Calibrating Deep Neural Network Classifiers on Out-of-Dis...
Zhihui Shao, Jianyi Yang, Shaolei Ren · 2020-06-16 · via stat.ML updates on arXiv.org

To increase the trustworthiness of deep neural network (DNN) classifiers, an accurate prediction confidence that represents the true likelihood of correctness is crucial. Towards this end, many post-hoc calibration methods have been proposed to leverage a lightweight model to map the target DNN's output layer into a calibrated confidence. Nonetheless, on an out-of-distribution (OOD) dataset in practice, the target DNN can often mis-classify samples with a high confidence, creating significant challenges for the existing calibration methods to produce an accurate confidence. In this paper, we propose a new post-hoc confidence calibration method, called CCAC (Confidence Calibration with an Auxiliary Class), for DNN classifiers on OOD datasets. The key novelty of CCAC is an auxiliary class in the calibration model which separates mis-classified samples from correctly classified ones, thus effectively mitigating the target DNN's being confidently wrong. We also propose a simplified version of CCAC to reduce free parameters and facilitate transfer to a new unseen dataset. Our experiments on different DNN models, datasets and applications show that CCAC can consistently outperform the prior post-hoc calibration methods.