惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

Y
Y Combinator Blog
S
SegmentFault 最新的问题
Engineering at Meta
Engineering at Meta
量子位
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
Google DeepMind News
Google DeepMind News
博客园_首页
云风的 BLOG
云风的 BLOG
月光博客
月光博客
I
InfoQ
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
Vercel News
Vercel News
美团技术团队
Microsoft Security Blog
Microsoft Security Blog
P
Proofpoint News Feed
D
Docker
F
Fortinet All Blogs
N
Netflix TechBlog - Medium
博客园 - 叶小钗
Martin Fowler
Martin Fowler
雷峰网
雷峰网
酷 壳 – CoolShell
酷 壳 – CoolShell
J
Java Code Geeks
Microsoft Azure Blog
Microsoft Azure Blog

cs.SI updates on arXiv.org

Hiding in Plain Sight: Finding MAHA on Reddit Prism: Structural Symmetry Scanning via Duality-Constrained Laplacian Projection MV-Gate: Insider Threat Detection via Multi-View Behavioral Statistics and Semantic Modeling Algorithmic Cultivation: How Social Media Feeds Shape User Language Universal Dynamics of Punctuated Progress AI-Mediated Communication Can Steer Collective Opinion CitePrism: Human-in-the-Loop AI for Citation Auditing and Editorial Integrity Explainable Detection of Depression Status Shifts from User Digital Traces Can Visual Mamba Improve AI-Generated Image Detection? An In-Depth Investigation ScioMind: Cognitively Grounded Multi-Agent Social Simulation with Anchoring-Based Belief Dynamics and Dynamic Profiles Humanwashing -- It Should Leave You Feeling Dirty When Do LLMs Generate Realistic Social Networks? A Multi-Dimensional Study of Culture, Language, Scale, and Method Moltbook Moderation: Uncovering Hidden Intent Through Multi-Turn Dialogue Linking Extreme Discourse to Structural Polarization in Signed Interaction Networks Predicting Channel Closures in the Lightning Network with Machine Learning Latent Causal Void: Explicit Missing-Context Reconstruction for Misinformation Detection Predictive Maps of Multi-Agent Reasoning: A Successor-Representation Spectrum for LLM Communication Topologies Large Language Models for Causal Relations Extraction in Social Media: A Validation Framework for Disaster Intelligence When Can Digital Personas Reliably Approximate Human Survey Findings? RAwR: Role-Aware Rewiring via Approximate Equitable Partition GravityGraphSAGE: Link Prediction in Directed Attributed Graphs Structure-Centric Graph Foundation Model via Geometric Bases Attention-based graph neural networks: a survey When AI Meets Science: Research Diversity, Interdisciplinarity, Visibility, and Retractions across Disciplines in a Global Surge Scalable inference of spatial regions and temporal signatures from time series Can LLMs Emulate Human Belief Dynamics? Predicting Post Virality with Temporal Cross-Attention over Trend Signals H3: A Healthcare Three-Hop Index for Physician Referral Network Prediction Dynamic Graph with Similarity-Aware Attention Graph Neural Network for Recommender Systems Spectral Graph Sparsification Preserves Representation Geometry in Graph Neural Networks
PoSSUM: A Protocol for Surveying Social-media Users with ...
Roberto Cerina · 2025-03-07 · via cs.SI updates on arXiv.org

This paper introduces PoSSUM, an open-source protocol for unobtrusive polling of social-media users via multimodal Large Language Models (LLMs). PoSSUM leverages users' real-time posts, images, and other digital traces to create silicon samples that capture information not present in the LLM's training data. To obtain representative estimates, PoSSUM employs Multilevel Regression and Post-Stratification (MrP) with structured priors to counteract the observable selection biases of social-media platforms. The protocol is validated during the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election, for which five PoSSUM polls were conducted and published on GitHub and X. In the final poll, fielded October 17-26 with a synthetic sample of 1,054 X users, PoSSUM accurately predicted the outcomes in 50 of 51 states and assigned the Republican candidate a win probability of 0.65. Notably, it also exhibited lower state-level bias than most established pollsters. These results demonstrate PoSSUM's potential as a fully automated, unobtrusive alternative to traditional survey methods.