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US grocery prices soared in April — but gas spikes weren't the only reason why
Associated Press · 2026-05-14 · via New York Post

Americans paid more for their groceries last month, but high gasoline prices resulting from the Iran war were only one of the reasons why.

Prices for food eaten at home rose 2.9% in April compared to the same month a year earlier, according to government figures released Tuesday. That was the highest year-over-year inflation rate for the category since August 2023.

Prices at restaurants, fast-food chains and other places to get prepared meals also increased, putting overall food prices up 3.2% in the last year, the Labor Department’s consumer price index showed.

Two shoppers in the produce section of a grocery store.

People shop in the produce section of a grocery store on May 11, 2026, in Portland, Oregon. AP

Gas prices at a Shell station show regular gas at $4.55 with cash and $4.67 with credit.

A general view of $4.55 and $4.67 regular gas prices as seen at a Shell gas station in Hackensack, New Jersey, on May 8, 2026. Christopher Sadowski for NY Post

Garlic bulbs on display with a "GARLIC WHOLE" sign indicating a price of $4.49 per pound.

The price of garlic is seen in the produce section of a grocery store on May 11, 2026, in Portland, Oregon. AP

Fuel prices have soared while the Iran war prevents cargo ships from passing through the Strait of Hormuz, a vital corridor for global oil supplies.

Diesel fuel powers fishing boats, tractors and the trucks that ship 83% of US agricultural products. As of Tuesday, the average price per gallon was up 61% from a year ago, according to AAA.

The meat, produce and dry goods vendors that supply Sparrow Market, a small independent grocer in Ann Arbor, Michigan, all added fuel surcharges to their deliveries in recent weeks, owner Raymond Campise said.

Packaged red meat with price tags in a grocery store cooler.

Red meat is displayed at a grocery store in Brooklyn, New York City, on May 12, 2026. Getty Images

Fresh fish and seafood, including swordfish, tuna, cod, and salmon, displayed in a grocery store.

Fresh fish are seen at a grocery store on May 11, 2026, in Nashville, Tennessee. AP

Wholesale prices for meat, produce and some other products also have gone up, he said.

“For independent markets operating on narrow margins, even small increases can have a major impact,” Campise said.

The full impact of rising energy costs on food likely has not hit retail grocery prices yet in the US, according to Purdue University economists Ken Foster and Bernhard Dalheimer.

Higher costs to produce, process, store and transport food can take three to six months to show up on supermarket shelves, where prices typically fall slowly once increased, they said.

“Most of what we’re seeing now in the food price chain probably predates the conflict,” Foster, a professor of agricultural economics, said. “

We’re cautiously waiting to see what the June numbers and the May numbers might show as they come out in terms of … the extent to which energy shocks in the Strait of Hormuz and shipping blockades and so forth are going to impact food prices.”

A vessel waiting to cross the Strait of Hormuz in the Arabian Sea off Muscat, Oman, during an orange sunset.

People enjoy the beach as a vessel is seen waiting to cross the Strait of Hormuz in the Arabian Sea off Muscat, Oman, on May 12, 2026. Ismael Mohamad/UPI/Shutterstock

The consumer price index measures changes in what people in US cities paid at retail stores for meat, bread, milk, produce and other grocery staples.

Over the last 20 years, grocery prices increased an average of 2.6%, according to the US Department of Agriculture.

Prices for perishable and refrigerated products tend to increase faster than prices for packaged goods when energy is an issue.

A person stands in a grocery store aisle, looking at shelves stocked with various milk and dairy products.

A worker stacks groceries at a store in Brooklyn, New York City, on May 12, 2026. Getty Images

Fresh oranges, limes, and lemons displayed in a grocery store produce section.

Fresh oranges and other fruits are seen at a grocery store on May 11, 2026, in Nashville, Tennessee. AP

Consumers paid 6.5% more for fresh fruit and vegetables in US cities last month than they did in April 2025, and 8.8% more for meat, the Labor Department reported.

But US trade policies and extreme weather also have weighed on US food prices in the last year. In July 2025, the Trump administration imposed a 17% duty on fresh tomatoes imported from Mexico; consumer prices rose 40% in the 12 months before April.

Dry weather in the Western US has been one of many factors pushing up beef prices, which in April were 15% higher year-over-year.

Lemons, oranges, and bagged limes for sale in a grocery store.

Lemons are displayed for sale at an H-E-B grocery store on May 11, 2026, in Austin, Texas. Getty Images

Coffee prices were up 18.5%, partly due to drought and other weather conditions that have hurt global coffee production in recent years.

“Today’s CPI showed that food prices have been rising 3.2 percent in the past year, but the story behind that number is more complicated than just an energy shock,” said Dalheimer, an assistant professor of macroeconomics and trade in Purdue’s Department of Agricultural Economics.

Prices for some foods remained more or less flat or declined over 12 months. Milk and chicken dipped slightly. Butter cost 5.8% less in April than it did a year earlier.

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Egg prices fell 39% as farmers rebuilt flocks that were decimated by an ongoing bird flu outbreak.

Food prices and broader inflation are likely to feature prominently in November’s midterm elections. During his 2024 campaign, President Donald Trump often cited the prices of bacon, cereal, crackers and other groceries as reasons why voters should return him to the White House.

Some food producers say they’re struggling now because of higher fuel costs. The Southern Shrimp Alliance, which represents shrimpers in eight states, said some boats haven’t left the dock this spring because they can’t catch enough shrimp to compensate for the cost of diesel.

Gas price sign for an Exxon station in Chicago showing regular unleaded at $5.79 per gallon.

Gas prices at a Chicago station have surged sharply, with regular unleaded reaching $5.79 per gallon and Supreme+ hitting $6.79, on April 30, 2026. Anadolu via Getty Images

Fuel typically makes up 30% to 50% of the costs for US shrimpers, but because they supply only 6% of the shrimp that Americans consume, they have limited ability to raise prices or add surcharges for fuel, the organization said.

Higher fuel prices may also be impacting food costs in other ways. Part of April’s 5% annual increase in prices for nonalcoholic beverages may be due to the petroleum derivative that goes into making plastic bottles, Foster said.

“It’s possible some of that’s starting to seep down the supply chain and get into those prices,” he said.

Fresh Brussels sprouts in a grocery store bin with a price tag of $3.99.

Fresh Brussels sprouts and produce are seen at a grocery store on May 11, 2026, in Nashville, Tennessee. AP

Over the next year or more, Americans could also see higher food prices due to spiking fertilizer costs, since around 30% of the world’s fertilizer travels through the Strait of Hormuz.

Fertilizer costs are less of an issue for US farmers this year, since many already had fertilizer supplies in place before the war began, according to Foster. But the effects could become more noticeable next year if the war drags on, he said.

“I expect the Iran conflict to impact the coming years’ food prices through a couple of channels. One, the energy costs and transportation handling. The other would be through packaging costs,” Foster said.

“If the conflict were to last longer, then we might see more coming online as fertilizer prices start to impact longer-term planting decisions and cropping decisions.”