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Model Benchmark | CoinSignal
docuru · 2026-05-31 · via Hacker News: Show HN
Dashboard

Ranking uses verified model performance from the database. The score favors accuracy first, then hit rate, consistency, confidence calibration, and enough sample size to trust the result.

Best calibratedmoonshotai/kimi-k2.5

Verified predictions11,769

Only completed prediction windows with accuracy scores are included.

Models compared13

Grouped by model name across every tracked coin.

Best avg accuracy72.2%

Mean score from direction, range closeness, and range overlap.

Best recent form75.8%

Average accuracy over each model's latest 10 verified calls.

Accuracy

Primary quality score already recorded for each model.

Hit Rate

Share of predictions scoring at least 70%.

Consistency

Rewards models with lower accuracy variance.

Calibration

Checks whether confidence matches actual results.

Recency

Separates current form from older performance.

RankModelScoreAvg accuracyRecentHit rateConsistencyConf gapSamplesCoinsLast verified
#1openai/gpt-5.4High-confidence avg: 57.2%77.2%72.2%51.4%76.6%79.4%-7.6%1172ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, DOGE +4Jun 04, 12:08 AM
#2minimax/minimax-m2.7High-confidence avg: 44.8%71.7%66.1%69.7%65.6%75.7%-3.9%195ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, DOGE +4Apr 26, 06:05 AM
#3xiaomi/mimo-v2.5High-confidence avg: 46.2%70.0%65.3%61.8%57.9%78.7%-2.9%959ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, ETH +2Jun 06, 12:00 PM
#4xiaomi/mimo-v2.5-proHigh-confidence avg: 45.5%70.0%65.5%68.0%57.8%78.9%-5.1%884ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, ETH +2Jun 04, 06:08 PM
#5minimax/minimax-m2.5High-confidence avg: 50.7%69.6%64.5%66.1%60.5%76.4%-6.2%1105ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, DOGE +4Jun 04, 06:08 PM
#6openai/gpt-5-miniHigh-confidence avg: 38.2%67.8%62.4%65.1%56.8%77.3%-5.8%1144ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, DOGE +4Jun 04, 06:08 PM
#7qwen/qwen3.5-plus-20260420High-confidence avg: 51.5%65.5%61.0%69.0%48.0%78.4%-4.6%930ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, ETH +2Jun 04, 06:08 PM
#8moonshotai/kimi-k2.5High-confidence avg: 42.8%64.1%58.7%72.6%46.1%76.1%-0.6%1110ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, DOGE +4Jun 04, 06:08 PM
#9z-ai/glm-5.1High-confidence avg: 44.5%63.8%58.9%70.2%44.2%77.9%+1.7%1183ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, DOGE +4Jun 04, 06:08 PM
#10deepseek/deepseek-v4-flashHigh-confidence avg: 47.9%63.7%58.8%73.0%43.6%78.5%-2.0%949ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, ETH +2Jun 06, 12:01 PM
#11google/gemini-3-flash-previewHigh-confidence avg: 42.4%62.7%58.3%74.2%43.3%78.0%+8.3%1040ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, DOGE +4Jun 04, 06:08 PM
#12z-ai/glm-5High-confidence avg: 42.8%61.5%54.7%68.3%52.8%67.7%+9.1%195ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, DOGE +4Apr 26, 06:05 AM
#13deepseek/deepseek-v4-proHigh-confidence avg: 42.5%58.5%54.4%75.8%32.8%79.1%+9.1%903ADA, AVAX, BNB, BTC, ETH +2Jun 04, 06:08 PM