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From Zonal to Nodal Capacity Expansion Planning: Spatial ...
[Submitted on 27 Oct 2025 (v1), last revised 22 Jun 2026 (this v · 2026-06-24 · via math updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Solving power system capacity expansion planning (CEP) problems at realistic spatial resolutions is computationally challenging. Thus, a common practice is to solve CEP over zonal models with low spatial resolution rather than over full-scale nodal power networks. Due to improvements in solving large-scale stochastic mixed integer programs, these computational limitations are becoming less relevant, and the assumption that zonal models are realistic and useful approximations of nodal CEP is worth revisiting. This work is the first to conduct a systematic computational study on the assumption that spatial aggregation can reasonably be used for ISO-scale CEP. By considering a realistic, large-scale test network based on the state of California with over 8,000 buses, we find that well-designed small spatial aggregations can yield good approximations but that coarser zonal models may result in large distortions of investment decisions, e.g., capacity under-investment of up to 41% for the lowest resolution model considered.

Submission history

From: Elizabeth Glista [view email]
[v1] Mon, 27 Oct 2025 17:53:48 UTC (7,787 KB)
[v2] Mon, 22 Jun 2026 22:56:55 UTC (6,543 KB)