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A Refined Generalization Analysis for Extreme Multi-class Supervised Contrastive Representation Learning Ensemble Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimisation The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures Modulated learning for private and distributed regression with just a single sample per client device Query-efficient model evaluation using cached responses Functional-prior-based approaches to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identification Order-Agnostic Autoregressive Modelling with Missing Data Grokking or Glitching? How Low-Precision Drives Slingshot Loss Spikes Tuning Derivatives for Causal Fairness in Machine Learning Spherical Flows for Sampling Categorical Data Bayesian Rain Field Reconstruction using Commercial Microwave Links and Diffusion Model Priors GRALIS: A Unified Canonical Framework for Linear Attribution Methods via Riesz Representation Sharp Capacity Thresholds in Linear Associative Memory: From Winner-Take-All to Listwise Retrieval Unified Framework of Distributional Regret in Multi-Armed Bandits and Reinforcement Learning Jacobian-Velocity Bounds for Deployment Risk Under Covariate Drift Self-Attention as Transport: Limits of Symmetric Spectral Diagnostics Perturbation is All You Need for Extrapolating Language Models Adapt or Forget: Provable Tradeoffs Between Adam and SGD in Nonstationary Optimization Realizable Bayes-Consistency for General Metric Losses Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression for Robust Spatiotemporal Forecasting of Urban Air Pollution Segmenting Human-LLM Co-authored Text via Change Point Detection Stochastic Schrödinger Diffusion Models for Pure-State Ensemble Generation Understanding Self-Supervised Learning via Latent Distribution Matching The Geometric Mechanics of Contrastive Representation Learning: Alignment Potentials, Entropic Dispersion, and Cross-modal Divergence Imbalanced Classification under Capacity Constraints On the Spectral Structure and Objective Equivalence of Orthogonal Multilabel Fisher Discriminants Partially Observed Structural Causal Models First-Order Efficiency for Probabilistic Value Estimation via A Statistical Viewpoint Robust and Fast Training via Per-Sample Clipping
Covariance scanning for adaptively optimal change point d...
Haeran Cho, Housen Li · 2025-07-03 · via stat updates on arXiv.org

This paper investigates the detection and estimation of a single change in high-dimensional linear models. We derive minimax lower bounds for the detection boundary and the estimation rate, which uncover a phase transition governed by the sparsity of the covariance-weighted differential parameter. This form of "inherent sparsity" captures a delicate interplay between the covariance structure of the regressors and the change in regression coefficients on the detectability of a change point. Complementing the lower bounds, we introduce two covariance scanning-based methods, McScan and QcSan, which achieve minimax optimal performance (up to possible logarithmic factors) in the sparse and the dense regimes, respectively. In particular, QcScan is the first method shown to achieve consistency in the dense regime and further, we devise a combined procedure which is adaptively minimax optimal across sparse and dense regimes without the knowledge of the sparsity. Computationally, covariance scanning-based methods avoid costly computation of Lasso-type estimators and attain worst-case computation complexity that is linear in the dimension and sample size. Additionally, we consider the post-detection estimation of the differential parameter and the refinement of the change point estimator. Simulation studies support the theoretical findings and demonstrate the computational and statistical efficiency of the proposed covariance scanning methods.