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A Refined Generalization Analysis for Extreme Multi-class Supervised Contrastive Representation Learning Ensemble Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimisation The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures Modulated learning for private and distributed regression with just a single sample per client device Query-efficient model evaluation using cached responses Functional-prior-based approaches to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identification Order-Agnostic Autoregressive Modelling with Missing Data Grokking or Glitching? How Low-Precision Drives Slingshot Loss Spikes Tuning Derivatives for Causal Fairness in Machine Learning Spherical Flows for Sampling Categorical Data Bayesian Rain Field Reconstruction using Commercial Microwave Links and Diffusion Model Priors GRALIS: A Unified Canonical Framework for Linear Attribution Methods via Riesz Representation Sharp Capacity Thresholds in Linear Associative Memory: From Winner-Take-All to Listwise Retrieval Unified Framework of Distributional Regret in Multi-Armed Bandits and Reinforcement Learning Jacobian-Velocity Bounds for Deployment Risk Under Covariate Drift Self-Attention as Transport: Limits of Symmetric Spectral Diagnostics Perturbation is All You Need for Extrapolating Language Models Adapt or Forget: Provable Tradeoffs Between Adam and SGD in Nonstationary Optimization Realizable Bayes-Consistency for General Metric Losses Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression for Robust Spatiotemporal Forecasting of Urban Air Pollution Segmenting Human-LLM Co-authored Text via Change Point Detection Stochastic Schrödinger Diffusion Models for Pure-State Ensemble Generation Understanding Self-Supervised Learning via Latent Distribution Matching The Geometric Mechanics of Contrastive Representation Learning: Alignment Potentials, Entropic Dispersion, and Cross-modal Divergence Imbalanced Classification under Capacity Constraints On the Spectral Structure and Objective Equivalence of Orthogonal Multilabel Fisher Discriminants Partially Observed Structural Causal Models First-Order Efficiency for Probabilistic Value Estimation via A Statistical Viewpoint Robust and Fast Training via Per-Sample Clipping
Bayesian Classification with Probit-link Split-and-merge ...
Yunong Wu, Jane E. Huggins, Jian Kang, Tianwen Ma · 2026-05-29 · via stat updates on arXiv.org

A Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) speller systems based on Event-Related Potentials (ERPs) enables users to select characters by detecting brain responses to visual stimuli, recorded through electroencephalogram (EEG). One challenge is to accurately identify target-related responses, such as the P300 component. However, existing methods tend to ignore feature selection, perform feature selection without interpretability, or require large computational effort or data manipulation. To address these limitations, we propose a novel Bayesian generative modeling framework to the binary classification of EEG responses to stimuli. Our approach employs a Probit-link Split-and-merge Gaussian Process (P-SMGP) prior to perform spatial-temporal feature selection, effectively capturing the distinctions between target and non-target ERP responses. Through both simulation studies and real EEG data analysis, our approach can reduce computational complexity and provide statistical interpretations on transformed ERP functions while maintaining comparable prediction accuracy. These findings underscore the value of interpretable, stimulus-level modeling for advancing predictive and personalized BCI systems.