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stat updates on arXiv.org

A Refined Generalization Analysis for Extreme Multi-class Supervised Contrastive Representation Learning Ensemble Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimisation The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures Modulated learning for private and distributed regression with just a single sample per client device Query-efficient model evaluation using cached responses Functional-prior-based approaches to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identification Order-Agnostic Autoregressive Modelling with Missing Data Grokking or Glitching? How Low-Precision Drives Slingshot Loss Spikes Tuning Derivatives for Causal Fairness in Machine Learning Spherical Flows for Sampling Categorical Data Bayesian Rain Field Reconstruction using Commercial Microwave Links and Diffusion Model Priors GRALIS: A Unified Canonical Framework for Linear Attribution Methods via Riesz Representation Sharp Capacity Thresholds in Linear Associative Memory: From Winner-Take-All to Listwise Retrieval Unified Framework of Distributional Regret in Multi-Armed Bandits and Reinforcement Learning Jacobian-Velocity Bounds for Deployment Risk Under Covariate Drift Self-Attention as Transport: Limits of Symmetric Spectral Diagnostics Perturbation is All You Need for Extrapolating Language Models Adapt or Forget: Provable Tradeoffs Between Adam and SGD in Nonstationary Optimization Realizable Bayes-Consistency for General Metric Losses Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression for Robust Spatiotemporal Forecasting of Urban Air Pollution Segmenting Human-LLM Co-authored Text via Change Point Detection Stochastic Schrödinger Diffusion Models for Pure-State Ensemble Generation Understanding Self-Supervised Learning via Latent Distribution Matching The Geometric Mechanics of Contrastive Representation Learning: Alignment Potentials, Entropic Dispersion, and Cross-modal Divergence Imbalanced Classification under Capacity Constraints On the Spectral Structure and Objective Equivalence of Orthogonal Multilabel Fisher Discriminants Partially Observed Structural Causal Models First-Order Efficiency for Probabilistic Value Estimation via A Statistical Viewpoint Robust and Fast Training via Per-Sample Clipping
Weak Moment Methods for Statistical Inference: with an Ap...
R. Labouriau · 2026-04-26 · via stat updates on arXiv.org

A companion paper develops a framework in which probability measures are represented by distribution-kernel pairs (T,phi) with T a tempered distribution and phi a Schwartz kernel, so that weak moments of all orders exist unconditionally. The present paper turns this into a methodology for statistical inference: estimation via weak moment matching, weak characteristic functions, weak cumulants, and regularised density reconstruction via Tikhonov inversion. A key feature is that parametric inference proceeds directly from weak expectations without reconstructing the underlying density; reconstruction is an additional route, useful when density-level inference is the goal. The central result is that weak moment estimators are automatically locally robust in the sense of Hampel: their score is bounded and redescending, their influence function has a closed form, and their gross error sensitivity is finite in every identifiable parametric model -- all inherited from the kernel's decay, with no ad hoc truncation. The kernel plays the role of Huber's tuning constant, but as a structural component of the model rather than a post-hoc modification. The framework is worked out for the Cauchy location model (where no classical moment estimator exists), a Student t_3 location-scale model, a bivariate Cauchy location model, and a bivariate t_3 location-scale model. Monte Carlo comparisons show that weak moment estimators match or outperform classical robust benchmarks under contamination; in the bivariate t_3 case the MLE scale estimate breaks down while the weak moment estimator converges at the parametric rate. Although the paper focuses on parametric models, the reconstruction route is inherently non-parametric and opens a path to weak density estimation without parametric assumptions.