惯性聚合 高效追踪和阅读你感兴趣的博客、新闻、科技资讯
阅读原文 在惯性聚合中打开

推荐订阅源

博客园 - 三生石上(FineUI控件)
D
DataBreaches.Net
博客园_首页
J
Java Code Geeks
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
Cyber Security Advisories - MS-ISAC
罗磊的独立博客
腾讯CDC
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
OSCHINA 社区最新新闻
B
Blog
D
Docker
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
让小产品的独立变现更简单 - ezindie.com
A
About on SuperTechFans
博客园 - 聂微东
Stack Overflow Blog
Stack Overflow Blog
WordPress大学
WordPress大学
MyScale Blog
MyScale Blog
G
Google Developers Blog
博客园 - 司徒正美
aimingoo的专栏
aimingoo的专栏
小众软件
小众软件
Apple Machine Learning Research
Apple Machine Learning Research
博客园 - 叶小钗
M
MIT News - Artificial intelligence
Recent Announcements
Recent Announcements

stat updates on arXiv.org

A Refined Generalization Analysis for Extreme Multi-class Supervised Contrastive Representation Learning Ensemble Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimisation The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures Modulated learning for private and distributed regression with just a single sample per client device Query-efficient model evaluation using cached responses Functional-prior-based approaches to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identification Order-Agnostic Autoregressive Modelling with Missing Data Grokking or Glitching? How Low-Precision Drives Slingshot Loss Spikes Tuning Derivatives for Causal Fairness in Machine Learning Spherical Flows for Sampling Categorical Data Bayesian Rain Field Reconstruction using Commercial Microwave Links and Diffusion Model Priors GRALIS: A Unified Canonical Framework for Linear Attribution Methods via Riesz Representation Sharp Capacity Thresholds in Linear Associative Memory: From Winner-Take-All to Listwise Retrieval Unified Framework of Distributional Regret in Multi-Armed Bandits and Reinforcement Learning Jacobian-Velocity Bounds for Deployment Risk Under Covariate Drift Self-Attention as Transport: Limits of Symmetric Spectral Diagnostics Perturbation is All You Need for Extrapolating Language Models Adapt or Forget: Provable Tradeoffs Between Adam and SGD in Nonstationary Optimization Realizable Bayes-Consistency for General Metric Losses Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression for Robust Spatiotemporal Forecasting of Urban Air Pollution Segmenting Human-LLM Co-authored Text via Change Point Detection Stochastic Schrödinger Diffusion Models for Pure-State Ensemble Generation Understanding Self-Supervised Learning via Latent Distribution Matching The Geometric Mechanics of Contrastive Representation Learning: Alignment Potentials, Entropic Dispersion, and Cross-modal Divergence Imbalanced Classification under Capacity Constraints On the Spectral Structure and Objective Equivalence of Orthogonal Multilabel Fisher Discriminants Partially Observed Structural Causal Models First-Order Efficiency for Probabilistic Value Estimation via A Statistical Viewpoint Robust and Fast Training via Per-Sample Clipping
Evidence Aggregation for Treatment Choice
[Submitted on 14 Aug 2021 (v1), last revised 5 Jul 2026 (this ve · 2021-08-14 · via stat updates on arXiv.org

View PDF HTML (experimental)

Abstract:Consider a planner who has limited knowledge of the policy's causal impact on a certain local population of interest due to a lack of data, but does have access to the publicized intervention studies performed for similar policies on different populations. How should the planner make use of and aggregate this existing evidence to make her policy decision? Following Manski (2020; Towards Credible Patient-Centered Meta-Analysis, \textit{Epidemiology}), we formulate the planner's problem as a statistical decision problem with a social welfare objective, and solve for an optimal aggregation rule under the minimax-regret criterion. We investigate the analytical properties, computational feasibility, and welfare regret performance of this rule. We apply the minimax regret decision rule to decide whether to enact an active labor market policy based on 14 randomized control trial studies.

Submission history

From: Takuya Ishihara [view email]
[v1] Sat, 14 Aug 2021 05:53:42 UTC (161 KB)
[v2] Wed, 3 Jul 2024 13:38:42 UTC (157 KB)
[v3] Sun, 5 Jul 2026 07:01:26 UTC (209 KB)