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A Refined Generalization Analysis for Extreme Multi-class Supervised Contrastive Representation Learning Ensemble Distributionally Robust Bayesian Optimisation The Proxy Presumption: From Semantic Embeddings to Valid Social Measures Modulated learning for private and distributed regression with just a single sample per client device Query-efficient model evaluation using cached responses Functional-prior-based approaches to Bayesian PDE-constrained inversion using physics-informed neural networks Optimal Experiments for Partial Causal Effect Identification Order-Agnostic Autoregressive Modelling with Missing Data Grokking or Glitching? How Low-Precision Drives Slingshot Loss Spikes Tuning Derivatives for Causal Fairness in Machine Learning Spherical Flows for Sampling Categorical Data Bayesian Rain Field Reconstruction using Commercial Microwave Links and Diffusion Model Priors GRALIS: A Unified Canonical Framework for Linear Attribution Methods via Riesz Representation Sharp Capacity Thresholds in Linear Associative Memory: From Winner-Take-All to Listwise Retrieval Unified Framework of Distributional Regret in Multi-Armed Bandits and Reinforcement Learning Jacobian-Velocity Bounds for Deployment Risk Under Covariate Drift Self-Attention as Transport: Limits of Symmetric Spectral Diagnostics Perturbation is All You Need for Extrapolating Language Models Adapt or Forget: Provable Tradeoffs Between Adam and SGD in Nonstationary Optimization Realizable Bayes-Consistency for General Metric Losses Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression for Robust Spatiotemporal Forecasting of Urban Air Pollution Segmenting Human-LLM Co-authored Text via Change Point Detection Stochastic Schrödinger Diffusion Models for Pure-State Ensemble Generation Understanding Self-Supervised Learning via Latent Distribution Matching The Geometric Mechanics of Contrastive Representation Learning: Alignment Potentials, Entropic Dispersion, and Cross-modal Divergence Imbalanced Classification under Capacity Constraints On the Spectral Structure and Objective Equivalence of Orthogonal Multilabel Fisher Discriminants Partially Observed Structural Causal Models First-Order Efficiency for Probabilistic Value Estimation via A Statistical Viewpoint Robust and Fast Training via Per-Sample Clipping
Bayesian Analysis Using a Constrained Mixture of Normal-I...
[Submitted on 22 Jun 2026] · 2026-06-23 · via stat updates on arXiv.org

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Abstract:Gaussian mixtures of regressions are commonly implemented via a Gibbs sampler. This Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm can be computationally burdensome because of the need to update discrete-valued latent component allocation parameters whose dimension increases as the sample size increases. In this article, we propose applying the method of composition to a Gaussian finite mixture model with a Normal-Inverse-Gamma (NIG) prior which allows one to write the posterior distribution as the product of conditional distributions. Namely, the conditional distribution of parameters given the data and mixture labels, times the marginal posterior of the mixture labels. The conditional distribution of parameters given the data and mixture labels, can be sampled from directly, instead of using MCMC. The expression of the marginal posterior of the mixture labels is known up to a proportionality constant and we adapt existing approaches in Bayesian selective inference to constrain the space of component labels to those arising from preliminary estimators, which alleviates a commonly encountered bottleneck. In simulation studies, we consider several settings and compare several versions of our constrained mixture of NIG models to two different MCMC-based strategies and demonstrate their use on natality data from the CDC.

Submission history

From: Jonathan Bradley [view email]
[v1] Mon, 22 Jun 2026 14:55:38 UTC (30,692 KB)