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PAC Learning with Bandit Feedback: Sharp Sample Complexity in the Realizable Setting Algorithms with Polynomially-Improved Approximation Factors for the $2 \rightarrow q$ Norm, and Applications A computational phase transition for learning-to-sample from Ising models Covering vertices by sequential stars Fermi-Dirac machines as quantizations of neurons A Comprehensive Evaluation of Vertex Elimination Algorithms for Algorithmic Differentiation A Tight Bound on Localization of Electrical Flows Optimal Dimension-Free Sampling for Regularized Classification Reducing the Randomness in Partition Oracles for Bounded Degree Minor-Free Graphs Beyond the Half-Approximation: Fair and Efficient Online Class Matching Efficient Uniform Sampling of Surjections via their Profiles Tractable Maximization of Budgeted Phylogenetic Diversity on Networks Utilizing Node Scanwidth Fairness in Aggregation: Optimal Top-$k$ and Improved Full Ranking Learning-Augmented Online Scheduling with Parsimonious Preemption Entropy Equivalence Testing Lumberjack: Better Differentially Private Random Forests through Heavy Hitter Detection in Trees The Secretary Problem with a Stochastic Precursor Polynomial-Time Robust Multiclass Linear Classification under Gaussian Marginals Efficient Banzhaf-Based Data Valuation for $k$-Nearest Neighbors Classification Block-Sphere Vector Quantization An Approximation Algorithm for Graph Label Selection Iterative Chow Filtering for Learning with Distribution Shift Complexity of Non-Log-Concave Sampling in Fisher Information Stochastic Matching via Local Sparsification Finite Sample Bounds for Learning with Score Matching What is Learnable in Valiant's Theory of the Learnable? Provable Quantization with Randomized Hadamard Transform Min-Max Optimization Requires Exponentially Many Queries Fast and Compact Graph Cuts for the Boykov-Kolmogorov Algorithm A proximal gradient algorithm for composite log-concave sampling
Competitive Distribution Estimation
Alon Orlitsky, Ananda Theertha Suresh · 2015-03-27 · via cs.DS updates on arXiv.org

Estimating an unknown distribution from its samples is a fundamental problem in statistics. The common, min-max, formulation of this goal considers the performance of the best estimator over all distributions in a class. It shows that with $n$ samples, distributions over $k$ symbols can be learned to a KL divergence that decreases to zero with the sample size $n$, but grows unboundedly with the alphabet size $k$. Min-max performance can be viewed as regret relative to an oracle that knows the underlying distribution. We consider two natural and modest limits on the oracle's power. One where it knows the underlying distribution only up to symbol permutations, and the other where it knows the exact distribution but is restricted to use natural estimators that assign the same probability to symbols that appeared equally many times in the sample. We show that in both cases the competitive regret reduces to $\min(k/n,\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(1/\sqrt n))$, a quantity upper bounded uniformly for every alphabet size. This shows that distributions can be estimated nearly as well as when they are essentially known in advance, and nearly as well as when they are completely known in advance but need to be estimated via a natural estimator. We also provide an estimator that runs in linear time and incurs competitive regret of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\min(k/n,1/\sqrt n))$, and show that for natural estimators this competitive regret is inevitable. We also demonstrate the effectiveness of competitive estimators using simulations.