Brendan O’Sullivan dives into his pick and prediction for the Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets game on Saturday, June 27.
The Phillies and Mets play the second game of their three-game series on Saturday, June 27.
New York is a -131 moneyline favorite, while New York is +109 on DraftKings Sportsbook. The game total is set at over/under nine runs.
Let’s get into a pick and prediction for this Phillies vs. Mets game.
The Mets reached another low point in their season, firing manager Carlos Mendoza after a 34-47 start to the season. The first game following the move was another loss, 2-1 to the Phillies to open the series. That marked a seven-game losing streak that extends back to the previous Phillies series in Philadelphia.
This set is in New York, which gives the Mets some sort of advantage—though the recent stretch hasn’t been promising whatsoever. Christian Scott is starting for the Mets in his second MLB season. He’s started nine games this season, holding a 3.10 ERA in 40.2 innings. His starts are typically short, lasting anywhere between 4.0-5.2 innings, which means the bullpen may have a busy day. That’s no problem for New York as its bullpen has the sixth best ERA in the majors and only used two relievers during yesterday’s game.
The other benefit to New York’s pitching staff is its ability to limit runs specifically over the past two games. The team lost five straight while allowing 50 total runs, but the last two games have been low scoring. That’s the only reasonable way the Mets win today because their offense has been putrid during this losing streak. While they’ve faced some quality pitchers during, they’ve still only scored five runs once in seven games. They finished the other six games with three or fewer runs.
Alan Rangel is starting for the Phillies today, making his third appearance of the season and eighth of his career. He’s been effective in a 19.0 career innings, but that’s not a fair sample size to judge. It’s difficult to determine what to expect today given he pitched three innings of relief in April and five innings of relief in June this year. Both times he allowed just one earned run. Philadelphia’s bullpen ranks 14th in collective ERA, so it’s an average unit backing Rangel.
The Mets are home, have a fresh bullpen, and have a slightly more experienced starter/opener, so it makes sense they’re favored in this matchup. The losing streak is bound to end at some point, right? Sure, but I’ll believe it when I see it. I’ll take plus-money on anyone facing the Mets during this stretch.
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