The first fight at UFC 328 is Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa, which is taking place on the Early Prelims. Both fighters are coming off losses: Ochoa last fought Asu Almabayev, while Carpenter’s previous opponent was Jafel Filho. Carpenter is 2-2 in the UFC, as Ochoa is 1-2 in the promotion.

Check out my best bet below for Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa at UFC 328.

Fight to Not Go the Distance (+120)

Both fighters have an overall record of 8-2, with Ochoa having eight finishes and Carpenter six wins by knockout or submission. Carpenter is currently on a two-fight losing streak, and last fought Jafel Filho. Carpenter is looking to get back in the win column for the first time since October 2024, when he beat Lucas Rocha. Ochoa’s last win was against Cody Durden in June 2025.

On DraftKings Sportsbook, Ochoa is a -175 favorite while Carpenter is a +145 underdog. This fight has an over/under of 2.5 rounds with the over at -195. This contest is -160 to go the distance and +120 to end before the scheduled 15 minutes. Since both fighters have combined for 14 finishes, it is unlikely this contest will last the full 15 minutes. Four of Carpenter’s last five wins have come by submission or knockout, while all of Ochoa’s victories have been finishes.