Alex Hunter details his best NBA player prop bets on DraftKings Sportsbook for Monday’s NBA playoff game between the Suns and the Thunder.
Game 4 between the Suns and Thunder will be in Phoenix on Monday. The Thunder lead this series 3-0 and can advance with a win. Oklahoma City is a 10.5-point favorite on DraftKings Sportsbook, with the game total set at 214.5 points.
Let’s dive into three of my favorite player prop bets for tonight’s contest.
Booker is a strong bet for this early game prop. The guard netted a two-point jumper about two minutes into Saturday’s Game 3 against the Thunder. He’s also scored at least two points in the first three minutes in four of his five matchups with OKC this season. Additionally, Booker has scored at least two points in the first three minutes of seven of his past 10 starts entering Monday.
Down 0-3 in this best-of-seven series, Monday is a win-or-go-home scenario for the Suns. Booker should elevate his game with the season on the line and get on the board early in this pivotal matchup. Game 4 will be the 16th game that Booker, Jalen Green, and Dillon Brooks have played together this season. When the trio is active, Booker leads Phoenix with 2.5 points per game in the first three minutes, while handling a 25% usage rate and shooting 54% from the field.
Gillespie has started for the Suns in back-to-back games against the Thunder. While he’s struggled with his shot, the guard has still easily cleared 14.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists in both matchups. He recorded seven points, six rebounds and six assists (19 PRA) across 29 minutes in Game 2 before adding seven points, 10 rebounds, and five assists (22 PRA) over 33 minutes in Game 3.
In these starts, Gillespie is averaging a 14% usage rate, 10.5 rebound chances, and seven potential assists per game. Gillespie should start again in Game 4 and cruise past this low 14.5 PRA line.
In Saturday’s Game 3 win over the Suns, Hartenstein only posted nine points, three rebounds and one assist (13 PRA) in 22 minutes. The big man has fallen short of 19.5 PRA in all but one of his four matchups with Phoenix this season, and he hasn’t logged more than 22 minutes in any of these contests.
Especially with Mark Williams (foot) out, the Suns are an undersized team. Relying on small-ball lineups is typically the most optimal strategy against Phoenix, and Hartenstein should only see around 20 minutes again in Game 4. This small of a role doesn’t bode well for the big man statistically, and it should keep him under 19.5 PRA once again.
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