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Prediction, pick for Vinicius Oliveira vs. Andre Fili at ...
Ryan Wohl · 2026-06-21 · via DraftKings Network

Ryan Wohl breaks down his best bet for Vinicius Oliveira vs. Andre Fili at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.

At tonight’s UFC Fight Night in Las Vegas, Nevada, Vinicius Oliveira is facing Andre Fili in a three-round Featherweight contest. Oliveira’s previous six-fight winning streak ended in February against Mario Bautista. Fili is coming off a split decision loss to Jose Miguel Delgado in March.

Check out my best bet for Vinicius Oliveira vs. Andre Fili at tonight’s UFC Fight Night.

Over 2.5 Rounds (-115)

Although Fili is coming off a loss, he hasn’t suffered consecutive defeats in his MMA career. Fili is 5-7 with one no contest in his previous 13 fights. He has competed in the UFC for nearly 13 years, making his debut in October 2013. Oliveira, 30, is 23-4 with 19 finishes and is 4-1 in the UFC. His last win came against Kyler Phillips at UFC 318 in July 2025. 

Oliveira is a -305 favorite, with Fili being a +245 underdog on DraftKings Sportsbook. This contest has an over/under of 2.5 rounds, with both the over and the under at -115. In this contest, Fili has the advantage in height (5’11” vs. 5’9″) and standing reach (74″ vs. 70″).

Both fighters in this matchup are versatile but do their best work on the feet. Striking-wise, Oliveira is better in each area. Oliveira averages more significant strikes per minute (4.73 vs. 3.88) at a better rate (43% vs. 37%) while absorbing fewer strikes. Since three of Fili’s last four fights and four of Oliveira’s previous five fights have gone at least three rounds, I’m taking this bout to go over 2.5 rounds at -115.

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