Best MLB prop bets today for May 14, 2026. Top picks include Astros F5 team total, Maikel Garcia props, and a McGreevey fade.
Looking for the best MLB prop bets today? We’ve got a few strong spots to target on the May 14 slate, with a mix of offense-friendly matchups and pitchers trending in the wrong direction. The Astros are in a great position against Luis Castillo, Maikel Garcia draws another favorable split against a struggling lefty, and Michael McGreevey faces a tough test in a hitter-friendly environment. Let’s break down the best MLB prop bets on the board.
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Let’s break down the top MLB prop bets and picks for today. Click on each headline below to view the latest odds and bet these plays on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Luis Castillo is in the middle of the worst season of his career. Through eight starts and 38.1 innings, he owns a 6.57 ERA with an xERA of 5.74 while allowing a 51.6% hard-hit rate. It’s gotten to the point where rumors have started to surface that Castillo could find himself in the Mariners bullpen, especially with the recent return of Bryce Miller. Regardless, he’s starting today against the Astros for the second time this season. In that prior start, they lit him up for seven runs on 10 hits across 3.1 innings. This game is on the road, where Castillo has been at his worst. He owns a .409 wOBA with a 5.72 FIP across 18 innings. I’m only going the first five innings because the Mariners bullpen has been good to this point, and this is likely their best chance to generate offense.
Whenever I take a hitter for 3+ H/R/RBI, I want to ensure this matchup is a good one for that hitter, as it’s a high number to clear. This is one of those matchups where I think it can occur. Garcia continues to be dominant against left-handed pitching. Coming into tonight’s game, he owns a massive .525 wOBA against lefties, with a .310 ISO and a 236 wRC+. He’ll face a struggling lefty in Anthony Kay, who has a 4.89 ERA with an xERA of 6.67 and a 44% hard-hit rate. Kay’s fastball, which is his main pitch, has been getting crushed for a .570 wOBA and a .350 ISO. With Garcia hitting at the top of the Royals lineup, he has a legitimate chance to clear this number and cash at +146.
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I don’t know how much longer McGreevey is going to get bailed out. When you have a 2.18 ERA and a 5.06 xERA, something’s got to give. Today, he’s in a hitter’s ballpark at Sutter Health Park against a strong Athletics lineup. Today’s expected lineup has a combined .365 wOBA with a .206 ISO against righties and only a 19.2% K%. At home, the Athletics average over five runs per game, which is one of the highest in the league. For McGreevey to go under, he needs to be out before he throws 5.2 innings. With this offense and the ballpark, I think there is a strong chance he does.
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Good luck with your MLB prop bets today!
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