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Much of the attention in Tuesday’s primaries across six states have been focused on immediate intra-party squabbles, like President Donald Trump’s successful effort to unseat a Republican rival, Rep. Thomas Massie of Kentucky, and whether progressive or establishment Democrats end the night with the upper hand in safe Democratic seats.
But the results of four Democratic congressional primaries in battleground Pennsylvania will loom large in November, when Democrats need to net three seats in order to take back control of the House.
In the swing 1st District in the Philadelphia suburbs, Bucks County Commissioner Bob Harvie will take on Republican Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick, whom Democrats have repeatedly tried and failed to unseat — even as he represents a district Democrats win at the presidential level.
There was less fanfare in another major primary in the 8th District, where Scranton Mayor Paige Cognetti ran unopposed and will take on Republican Rep. Rob Bresnahan in the 8th District. But that seat will also be a critical swing race in the fall.
The most competitive battleground primary is in the Allentown-area 7th District, where a crowded field of prominent Democrats from different wings of the party are jockeying for the right to take on Republican Rep. Ryan Mackenzie.
Bob Brooks, a firefighter union leader, has won the backing of prominent Democrats from different wings of the party — including Gov. Josh Shapiro and Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont. He’s also received a significant boost on the airwaves from an outside group funded primarily by unions and The Bench, a Democratic organization that’s played a significant role in elevating its preferred candidates, as well as the House Democrats’ campaign arm which launched a late ad buy coordinated with Brooks’ campaign.
Ryan Crosswell, a former Republican prosecutor and former Justice Department official, has been the top fundraiser in the race and has the endorsement of groups like VoteVets and New Politics, as well as Alex Vindman, the retired lieutenant colonel who is running for Senate in Florida.
Northampton County Executive Lamont McClure, who has the backing of a handful of labor unions and a slew of local politicians, has benefitted from a seven-figure television campaign in the race’s final weeks from a shadowy group called Lead Left PAC. That group has no real footprint, and it’s not clear who is funding it. But Punchbowl News reported earlier this month that metadata for the group’s website linked to a GOP fundraising platform, leading to speculation that the group’s advertising campaign — which seeks to cut down both Brooks and Crosswell and raise up McClure — could be an example of Republicans trying to elevate their preferred general election opponent.
Former television news anchor Janelle Stelson is the frontrunner to take on Republican Rep. Scott Perry in the Harrisburg-area 10th District.
The 7th, 8th and 10th Districts have each drawn more than $11 million in advertising dollars spent and reserved this year, according to the ad-tracking firm AdImpact.
Beyond Massie’s loss in Kentucky, a handful of other safe-seat primaries will almost certainly decide who will be representing deeply Republican or Democratic seats in Congress next year.
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